GDA vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 23, 2024 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Adrian Gała1 3 D 0 W 26+1
- 10Tom Brennan1 0 1 3 16+1
- 11Niels Kristian Iversen2 2 3 3 313
- 12Krzysztof Kasprzak2 1 2 2 29+3
- 13Nicolai Klindt1 1 u2+1
- 14Bartosz GłogowskiT 0 W0
- 15Miłosz WysockiU 0 1 12
- 1Chris Holder3 3 3 312
- 2Tobiasz Musielak0 2 2 26+2
- 3Wiktor Jasinski0 0 2 35
- 4Frederik Jakobsen2 3 3 1 110+1
- 5Gleb Chugunov3 1 1 W5+1
- 6Sebastian Szostak3 3 2 0 08+1
- 7Gracjan Szostak2 2 0 04
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA2
- Adrian Gała · GDA1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Gracjan Szostak · OST2
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDAU
- Gleb Chugunov · OST3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA2
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2*
- Tom Brennan · GDA1
- Bartosz Głogowski · GDA0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2*
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Adrian Gała · GDA3
- Gracjan Szostak · OST2
- Gleb Chugunov · OST1*
- Tom Brennan · GDA0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2*
- Tom Brennan · GDA1
- Adrian Gała · GDAD
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA2*
- Gleb Chugunov · OST1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA2
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Adrian Gała · GDA0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Gracjan Szostak · OST0
- Tom Brennan · GDA3
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST2
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST3
- Adrian Gała · GDA2
- Tom Brennan · GDA1*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA2*
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Gracjan Szostak · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 32 km/h W
- gusts up to 45 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 94 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 7 | 16 | −9 | +9 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 8 | +1 | −1 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| GDA | OST | GDA | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -5 | 37 % |
| 3 | -5 | 34 % |
| 4 | -9 | 15 % |
| 5 | -9 | 18 % |
| 6 | -13 | 7 % |
| 7 | -13 | 4 % |
| 8 | -17 | 1 % |
| 9 | -21 | 1 % |
| 10 | -17 | 2 % |
| 11 | -19 | 1 % |
| 12 | -17 | 0 % |
| 13 | -16 | 0 % |
| 14 | -16 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.5 | 13 | +3.5 |
| Chris Holder | 4 | 8.8 | 12 | +3.2 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 7.2 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 4 | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 5 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Gracjan Szostak | 4 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Adrian Gała | 6 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 2 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 11.0 | 10 | -1.0 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 4 | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 4 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 8.8 | 6 | -2.8 |
| Bartosz Głogowski | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.