BYD vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 23, 2024 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kai HuckenbeckW 3 1 15
- 10Andreas Lyager1 2 3 28+2
- 11Mateusz Szczepaniak3 1 3 29+1
- 12Tim Sörensen2 3 2 2 09+2
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 3 3 315
- 14Olivier Buszkiewicz2 3 0 05+1
- 15Franciszek Karczewski3 1 3 18
- 1Kenneth Bjerre1 2 2 D 16+1
- 2Patryk Wojdyło0 D 0 33
- 3Norbert Krakowiak2 0 2 0 26+1
- 4Vaclav Milik2 2 1 3 1 211+1
- 6Piotr Świercz1 0 1 13
- 7Szymon Bańdur0 0 00
- 8Jonas Seifert-Salk1 1 02
Heat by heat
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO1
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD3
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD2*
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Tim Sörensen · BYD2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KROD
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Tim Sörensen · BYD2*
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Tim Sörensen · BYD2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Kenneth Bjerre · KROD
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2*
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2*
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO1*
- Tim Sörensen · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 14 km/h W
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| BYD | KRO | BYD | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +14 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +24 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +32 | 100 % |
| 14 | +28 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 10.8 | 15 | +4.2 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 4 | 3.9 | 8 | +4.1 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 4 | 7.2 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 4 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Andreas Lyager | 4 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Tim Sörensen | 5 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Piotr Świercz | 4 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 5 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 4 | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 3 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 6.0 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 3 | 4.1 | 0 | -4.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.