RYB vs POZ
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 15, 2024 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Rohan Tungate3 2 0 2 29+1
- 10Brady Kurtz3 3 3 312
- 11Jakub Jamróg2 3 3 3 314+1
- 12Norick Blödorn1 1 1 D3
- 13Grzegorz Walasek0 2 1 2 D5+1
- 14Kacper Tkocz1 2 D3+1
- 15Paweł Trześniewski3 03
- 16Maksym Borowiak1 23+1
- 1Matias Nielsen1 3 2 1 1 19+2
- 2Szymon Szlauderbach2 1 2 3 2 010+1
- 3Oleksandr Loktayev0 2 3 1 17
- 4Lech Chlebowski11
- 5Ryan Douglas3 1 2 0 39
- 6Kacper GrzelakM U 00
- 7Kacper Teska2 0 0 02
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2*
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ0
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB3
- Kacper Teska · POZ2
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Kacper Grzelak · POZM
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2*
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB2*
- Lech Chlebowski · POZ1
- Kacper Grzelak · POZU
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2*
- Ryan Douglas · POZ1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYBD
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1*
- Rohan Tungate · RYB0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Norick Blödorn · RYBD
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ1
- Ryan Douglas · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYBD
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB2*
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 24 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 19 km/h S
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| RYB | POZ | RYB | POZ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 9.4 | 14 | +4.6 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 8.6 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 6 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 2 | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 2 | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Lech Chlebowski | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 9.3 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Kacper Teska | 4 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 9.9 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 8.7 | 7 | -1.7 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 5.4 | 3 | -2.4 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.4 | 5 | -3.4 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 3 | 3.7 | 0 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.