LOD vs RZE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 22, 2024 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Luke Becker3 3 3 3 113+1
- 10Daniel Kaczmarek3 2 2 2 211+3
- 11Tomasz GapińskiT 1 1 35
- 12Benjamin Basso1 3 3 1 19+1
- 13Oliver Berntzon3 3 3 3 214
- 14Bartosz Nowak2 1 25+2
- 15Mateusz Bartkowiak0 3 0 14
- 1Marcin Nowak1 1 1 2 38+2
- 2Mateusz Świdnicki00
- 3Nicki Pedersen2 2 1 05
- 4Krystian Pieszczek2 0 02
- 5Jacob Thorssell2 2 1 2 1 311
- 6Wiktor RafalskiD 0 00
- 7Jakub Poczta1 0 01
- 8Jesper Knudsen0 0 2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD0
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD3
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD2*
- Jakub Poczta · RZE1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZED
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD3
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE2
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Benjamin Basso · LOD3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD2*
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1
- Jakub Poczta · RZE0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD2*
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE1
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD2*
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Mateusz Świdnicki · RZE0
- Benjamin Basso · LOD3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE0
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD3
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD1
- Jakub Poczta · RZE0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD2*
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE0
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD2
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1*
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2
- Luke Becker · LOD1*
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 21 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 30 km/h W
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 11–13 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LOD | RZE | LOD | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +22 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +26 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +32 | 100 % |
| 14 | +32 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 9.6 | 14 | +4.4 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 6.8 | 11 | +4.2 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 9.3 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 3 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Benjamin Basso | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 4 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 3 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 6 | 11.5 | 11 | -0.5 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Jakub Poczta | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 3 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Jesper Knudsen | 5 | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 3 | 3.6 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 8.8 | 5 | -3.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.