KRO vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 15, 2024 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre2 3 2 1 210+3
- 10Jonas Seifert-Salk3 1 3 2 211+1
- 11Patryk Wojdyło1 0 3 37+1
- 12Norbert Krakowiak2 3 2 2 312+2
- 13Vaclav Milik3 1 2 3 09+1
- 14Piotr Świercz2 0 02+1
- 15Szymon Bańdur3 2 16
- 1Nicolai Klindt0 3 0 3 17
- 2Mateusz Tonder0 00
- 3Niels Kristian Iversen3 2 3 1 1 313
- 5Krzysztof Kasprzak1 2 1 D4
- 6Miłosz Wysocki1 2 0 0 14
- 7Bartosz Głogowski0 0 00
- 8Tom Brennan1 1 1 0 25+2
Heat by heat
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1*
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA0
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO3
- Piotr Świercz · KRO2*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Bartosz Głogowski · GDA0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA1
- Mateusz Tonder · GDA0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO3
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA2
- Tom Brennan · GDA1*
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA2
- Tom Brennan · GDA1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Mateusz Tonder · GDA0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Tom Brennan · GDA1
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA1
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO1*
- Tom Brennan · GDA0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Tom Brennan · GDA2
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1
- Bartosz Głogowski · GDA0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDAD
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Bartosz Głogowski · GDA0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 23 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h S
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| KRO | GDA | KRO | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +16 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +26 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norbert Krakowiak | 5 | 6.7 | 12 | +5.3 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 6.9 | 11 | +4.1 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 10.1 | 13 | +2.9 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 3 | 3.7 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 8.7 | 9 | +0.3 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 5 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Piotr Świercz | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 7.5 | 4 | -3.5 |
| Bartosz Głogowski | 3 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 9.9 | 5 | -4.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.