RYB vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 3, 2024 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Rohan Tungate1 3 3 2 312
- 10Brady Kurtz3 2 2 310+2
- 11Jakub Jamróg3 3 3 3 315
- 12Norick Blödorn0 2 1 D3+1
- 13Grzegorz Walasek2 3 2 2 09+1
- 14Kacper Tkocz2 1 03+1
- 15Maksym Borowiak3 03
- 16Paweł Trześniewski0 11
- 1Krzysztof Kasprzak2 2 1 3 19+1
- 2Tom Brennan1 1 W 2 15+2
- 3Adrian Gała0 0 D0
- 4Joshua Pickering2 1 1 1 27
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen3 1 3 2 1 212
- 6Miłosz Wysocki1 0 01
- 7Eryk Kaminski0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Adrian Gała · GDA0
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB3
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB2*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Eryk Kaminski · GDA0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2
- Tom Brennan · GDA1
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Joshua Pickering · GDA2
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2*
- Joshua Pickering · GDA1
- Adrian Gała · GDA0
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA2
- Tom Brennan · GDA1*
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA1
- Eryk Kaminski · GDA0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2
- Joshua Pickering · GDA1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA1
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Joshua Pickering · GDA1
- Norick Blödorn · RYBD
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Tom Brennan · GDA2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Eryk Kaminski · GDA0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA1
- Adrian Gała · GDAD
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Joshua Pickering · GDA2
- Tom Brennan · GDA1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 21 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h N
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 5.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 60 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| RYB | GDA | RYB | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +6 | 89 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +10 | 97 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +16 | 100 % |
| 10 | +18 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +22 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 9.3 | 15 | +5.7 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 8.4 | 12 | +3.6 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 6.4 | 9 | +2.6 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 2 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 6 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 9.7 | 10 | +0.3 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 2 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 8.9 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Adrian Gała | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Eryk Kaminski | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 8.4 | 5 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.