LOD vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 2, 2024 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Luke Becker3 2 3 0 210+1
- 10Daniel Kaczmarek1 3 1 3 08
- 11Tomasz Gapiński0 2 2 2 39+1
- 12Benjamin Basso1 0 12
- 13Oliver Berntzon3 3 2 2 111+2
- 14Bartosz Nowak0 2 W2
- 15Mateusz Bartkowiak3 2 0 38+1
- 1Patryk Wojdyło2 0 2 15+2
- 2Norbert KrakowiakD 1 12
- 3Vaclav Milik1 3 3 0 1 311+1
- 4Kenneth Bjerre3 1 1 3 2 010
- 6Piotr Świercz1 W1+1
- 7Szymon Bańdur2 1 1 04
- 8Jonas Seifert-Salk2 U 2 3 07
Heat by heat
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD0
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1*
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1
- Norbert Krakowiak · KROD
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO1
- Benjamin Basso · LOD0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD3
- Luke Becker · LOD2*
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KROU
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO1
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2*
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO0
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 19 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h NW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 82 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LOD | KRO | LOD | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 4 | 3.4 | 8 | +4.6 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 7.6 | 9 | +1.4 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 7.0 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Piotr Świercz | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 11.2 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 3 | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Benjamin Basso | 3 | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 4.7 | 2 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.