KRO vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 26, 2024 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Norbert Krakowiak1 W 3 2 1 0 07
- 10Jonas Seifert-Salk1 2 3 2 1 2 213+2
- 11Patryk Wojdyło0 3 1 04
- 13Vaclav Milik0 0 3 3 0 39
- 14Piotr Świercz1 01
- 15Szymon Bańdur2 2 1 27+2
- 1Chris Holder3 3 2 1 110
- 2Wiktor Jasinski2 1 0 1 15
- 3Tobiasz Musielak2 2 04+2
- 4Frederik Jakobsen2 3 3 3 314+1
- 5Gleb Chugunov1 1 2 2 06+2
- 6Sebastian Szostak3 3 1 310+1
- 7Tobiasz PotasznikU0
- 8Gracjan Szostak00
Heat by heat
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1
- Tobiasz Potasznik · OSTU
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST2
- Gleb Chugunov · OST1*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2*
- Gleb Chugunov · OST1
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO1
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Gleb Chugunov · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2*
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST1
- Gracjan Szostak · OST0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Gleb Chugunov · OST2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2*
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST1
- Gleb Chugunov · OST0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2
- Chris Holder · OST1
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 26 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 10 km/h E
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 33 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| KRO | OST | KRO | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -12 | 6 % |
| 6 | -14 | 4 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -8 | 12 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Szostak | 4 | 4.8 | 10 | +5.2 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 9.1 | 14 | +4.9 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 7 | 10.0 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 4 | 4.1 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 5 | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| Piotr Świercz | 2 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Gracjan Szostak | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 10.0 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 11.2 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 7 | 8.4 | 7 | -1.4 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 3 | 6.0 | 4 | -2.0 |
| Tobiasz Potasznik | 2 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 10.8 | 6 | -4.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.