GDA vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 26, 2024 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak0 1 2 3 17+2
- 10Tom Brennan2 2 3 3 010
- 11Adrian Gała1 1 1 3 W6
- 12Nicolai Klindt0 3 3 2 311+1
- 13Niels Kristian Iversen2 2 0 04
- 14Miłosz Wysocki1 0 0 23
- 15Bartosz Głogowski0 D0
- 1Luke Becker3 3 0 1 310
- 2Benjamin Basso1 1 1 14
- 3Tomasz Gapiński2 0 1 2 27+2
- 4Daniel Kaczmarek3 2 3 0 19+1
- 5Oliver Berntzon3 3 2 1 211+1
- 6Mateusz Bartkowiak2 1 03+1
- 7Bartosz Nowak3 0 25
Heat by heat
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2*
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA0
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD2*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Bartosz Głogowski · GDA0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA2
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD3
- Tom Brennan · GDA2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD2
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA2
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Tom Brennan · GDA2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA1*
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD3
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA2
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA0
- Tom Brennan · GDA3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA2*
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2*
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD0
- Adrian Gała · GDA3
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD2
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1
- Bartosz Głogowski · GDAD
- Tom Brennan · GDA3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD1*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA1
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1*
- Tom Brennan · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Thunderstorm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 18 km/h NE
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 6 | 18 | −12 | +12 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| GDA | LOD | GDA | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -8 | 11 % |
| 3 | -10 | 7 % |
| 4 | -12 | 10 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -12 | 7 % |
| 7 | -12 | 4 % |
| 8 | -14 | 0 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -4 | 14 % |
| 14 | -8 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Klindt | 5 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 6.8 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 3 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 9.5 | 11 | +1.5 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 6.0 | 6 | -0.0 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 4 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Benjamin Basso | 4 | 6.4 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Bartosz Głogowski | 2 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 4 | 7.6 | 4 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.