RZE vs GDA

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, May 18, 2024 · Stadion Miejski Stal w Rzeszowie, Rzeszów

Results

RZE 52 : 38 GDA

RZE

9Marcin Nowak1 3 3 3 313+1
10Krystian Pieszczek3 0 T 03
11Jacob Thorssell2 3 3 3 011
12Jesper Knudsen1 D 2 1 04+1
13Nicki Pedersen2 3 3 3 314
14Bartosz Curzytek2 1 03+1
15Wiktor Rafalski3 0 0 14

GDA

1Krzysztof Kasprzak3 1 1 2 2 110+3
2Niels Kristian Iversen3 2 2 2 2 213
3Tom Brennan0 1 2 25
4Mateusz Tonder0 1 12+2
5Nicolai KlindtD 2 1 D 14+1
6Miłosz Wysocki1 2 1 W4+1
7Bartosz Głogowski0 M0

Heat by heat

Heat 167.02 s3:3

Heat 267.25 s5:1

Heat 366.12 s3:3

Heat 466.03 s4:2

Heat 566.98 s3:3

Heat 666.47 s3:3

Heat 766.43 s3:3

Heat 866.52 s3:3

Heat 967.21 s3:3

Heat 1067.06 s5:1

Heat 1166.28 s4:2

Heat 1266.37 s4:2

Heat 1366.47 s3:3

Heat 1467.10 s3:3

Marcin Nowak · RZE3
Tom Brennan · GDA2
Mateusz Tonder · GDA1*
Jesper Knudsen · RZE0

Heat 1566.37 s3:3

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky: Thunderstorm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature: 15 → 19 °C; Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
Wind: 12 km/h SE; gusts up to 20 km/h; Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
Rain during the meeting: 0.2 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before: 2.4 mm; Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity: 74 %; Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

	Points		Balance
1–4	15	9	+6	−6
5–7	9	9	0	0
8–10	11	7	+4	−4
11–13	11	7	+4	−4
14–15	6	6	0	0
	RZE	GDA	RZE	GDA

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

Lead RZE

Heat	Lead	Home win chance
1	0	66 %
2	+4	86 %
3	+4	82 %
4	+6	90 %
5	+6	90 %
6	+6	88 %
7	+6	90 %
8	+6	90 %
9	+6	89 %
10	+10	96 %
11	+12	100 %
12	+14	100 %
13	+14	100 %
14	+14	100 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

Rider	heats	Expected	Scored	±
Marcin Nowak	5	8.1	13	+4.9
Nicki Pedersen	5	11.1	14	+2.9
Niels Kristian Iversen	6	11.2	13	+1.8
Jacob Thorssell	5	9.9	11	+1.1
Bartosz Curzytek	3	2.1	3	+0.9
Wiktor Rafalski	4	3.3	4	+0.7
Krzysztof Kasprzak	6	9.3	10	+0.7
Miłosz Wysocki	4	3.5	4	+0.5
Jesper Knudsen	5	3.5	4	+0.5
Tom Brennan	4	6.3	5	-1.3
Krystian Pieszczek	3	5.1	3	-2.1
Bartosz Głogowski	2	2.8	0	-2.8
Mateusz Tonder	3	5.1	2	-3.1
Nicolai Klindt	5	8.7	4	-4.7

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 67.2566.03 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside A + B 32.3:31.7 outside C + D

Trend ▶ −0.83 towards the outside

Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Full results at the source