LOD vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 5, 2024 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Luke Becker2 3 1 3 211
- 10Oskar Polis2 1 D 03
- 11Tomasz Gapiński0 1 3 04
- 12Benjamin Basso2 3 1 0 17
- 13Oliver Berntzon1 1 3 3 2 010+1
- 14Aleksander GrygolecU D0
- 15Mateusz Bartkowiak3 0 14
- 16Seweryn OrgackiD0
- 1Rohan Tungate1 3 2 2 210+2
- 2Grzegorz Walasek3 2 3 2 313+1
- 3Jakub Jamróg3 2 2 1 19
- 4Norick Blödorn1 0 1 13+1
- 5Brady Kurtz0 2 2 3 310
- 6Paweł Trześniewski2 3 05
- 7Maksym BorowiakW 0 00
Heat by heat
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD0
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2
- Aleksander Grygolec · LODU
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB3
- Benjamin Basso · LOD2
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD1*
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB3
- Oskar Polis · LOD2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LODD
- Benjamin Basso · LOD3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2*
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Oskar Polis · LOD1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Seweryn Orgacki · LODD
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2*
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Oskar Polis · LODD
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1*
- Benjamin Basso · LOD0
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1
- Oskar Polis · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2*
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD0
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h S
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 1.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 26 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 13 | −3 | +3 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| LOD | RYB | LOD | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -1 | 64 % |
| 3 | -1 | 64 % |
| 4 | -3 | 46 % |
| 5 | -1 | 64 % |
| 6 | -5 | 33 % |
| 7 | -3 | 46 % |
| 8 | -3 | 48 % |
| 9 | -7 | 20 % |
| 10 | -5 | 22 % |
| 11 | -5 | 18 % |
| 12 | -3 | 35 % |
| 13 | -5 | 14 % |
| 14 | -9 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.4 | 13 | +4.6 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 7.8 | 11 | +3.2 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 2.6 | 5 | +2.4 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Benjamin Basso | 5 | 6.2 | 7 | +0.8 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 9.8 | 10 | +0.2 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Oskar Polis | 4 | 5.3 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 12.7 | 10 | -2.7 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 6.7 | 3 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.