GDA vs BYD

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 5, 2024 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk

Results

GDA 21 : 27 BYD
GDA
BYD

Heat by heat

Heat 168.34 s3:3
Heat 268.10 s3:3
Heat 367.68 s3:3
Heat 465.92 s2:4
Heat 566.04 s2:4
Heat 666.69 s5:1
Heat 765.83 s2:4
Heat 868.38 s1:5
Heat 9
Heat 10
Heat 11
Heat 12
Heat 13
Heat 14
    Heat 15

      Conditions

      Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

      Sky
      Cloudy → Showers
      Regional estimate (Meteostat)
      Temperature
      19 → 15 °C
      Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
      Wind
      16 km/h SE
      gusts up to 24 km/h
      Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
      Rain during the meeting
      0 mm
      Regional estimate (Meteostat)
      Rain in the 24 hours before
      0 mm
      Regional estimate (Meteostat)
      Humidity
      75 %
      Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away

      Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

      Match by phase

      Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

      PointsBalance
      1–41113−2+2
      5–79900
      8–1015−4+4
      11–130000
      GDABYDGDABYD

      The match heat by heat

      Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

      • Lead GDA
      -6-5-4-3-2-1018
      HeatLeadHome win chance
      1066 %
      2064 %
      3064 %
      4-246 %
      5-434 %
      6066 %
      7-246 %
      8-616 %

      Pre-meeting expectation

      Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

      RiderheatsExpectedScored±
      Miłosz Wysocki32.05+3.0
      Mateusz Szczepaniak45.98+2.1
      Nicolai Klindt46.67+0.4
      Franciszek Karczewski33.03-0.0
      Tim Sörensen46.46-0.4
      Olivier Buszkiewicz32.82-0.8
      Krzysztof Kasprzak46.25-1.2
      Mateusz Tonder44.62-2.6
      Bartosz Tyburski33.60-3.6
      Tom Brennan46.02-4.0
      Krzysztof Buczkowski48.14-4.1
      Andreas Lyager46.42-4.4
      Kai Huckenbeck48.82-6.8
      Niels Kristian Iversen47.50-7.5

      Track & gates

      Heat times

      Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

      slower 68.3865.83 faster

      Starting gates

      One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

      Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

      Inside vs outside

      Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

      inside A + B 16.0:14.0 outside C + D
      Trend ▶ −0.17
      Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
      Full results at the source(opens in a new tab)