RYB vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 27, 2024 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Rohan Tungate3 2 1 3 110+1
- 10Brady Kurtz3 3 3 3 315
- 11Jakub Jamróg0 3 3 3 312
- 12Norick Blödorn2 0 0 13+1
- 13Grzegorz Walasek3 2 2 0 29+1
- 14Maksym Borowiak0 00
- 15Kacper Tkocz2 0 02
- 16Paweł Trześniewski00
- 1Chris Holder2 3 2 2 1 010+1
- 2Wiktor Jasinski0 1 01
- 3Tobiasz Musielak1 2 3 2 0 210+1
- 4Frederik Jakobsen1 1 1 03+2
- 5Gleb Chugunov1 1 2 15+1
- 6Sebastian Szostak3 2 1 2 19+1
- 7Gracjan Szostak1 01
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST1*
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB2
- Gracjan Szostak · OST1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2*
- Gleb Chugunov · OST1
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1*
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1*
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2*
- Gleb Chugunov · OST1
- Gracjan Szostak · OST0
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Gleb Chugunov · OST2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1*
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Chris Holder · OST1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2
- Gleb Chugunov · OST1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Chris Holder · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 18 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h S
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| RYB | OST | RYB | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 7.1 | 12 | +4.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 11.6 | 15 | +3.4 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 5 | 5.6 | 9 | +3.4 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 7.7 | 10 | +2.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.1 | 9 | +0.9 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Gracjan Szostak | 2 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 6 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 4.8 | 3 | -1.8 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 3 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 2 | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 4 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 4 | 6.9 | 3 | -3.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.