BYD vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 28, 2024 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Andreas Lyager2 1 1 15+1
- 10Tim Sörensen3 3 3 0 110
- 11Mateusz Szczepaniak1 2 1 2 28+4
- 12Kai Huckenbeck2 3 2 2 312+1
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 3 3 315
- 14Olivier Buszkiewicz2 1 25+1
- 15Franciszek Karczewski1 1 02+1
- 1Luke Becker3 0 2 3 1 09+1
- 2Benjamin Basso0 2 0 3 W5
- 3Tomasz Gapiński0 1 01
- 4Daniel Kaczmarek2 0 1 14
- 5Oliver Berntzon1 2 3 0 2 210
- 6Mateusz Bartkowiak3 0 0 14
- 7Aleksander Grygolec0 00
Heat by heat
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1*
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD0
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD3
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD2
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD1
- Benjamin Basso · LOD0
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Benjamin Basso · LOD2
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD2*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD0
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Benjamin Basso · LOD0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD0
- Benjamin Basso · LOD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD1
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2
- Luke Becker · LOD1*
- Tim Sörensen · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2
- Tim Sörensen · BYD1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 23 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 19 km/h SE
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 34 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| BYD | LOD | BYD | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +10 | 96 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +14 | 100 % |
| 8 | +18 | 100 % |
| 9 | +20 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +18 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +22 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 9.5 | 15 | +5.5 |
| Tim Sörensen | 5 | 7.3 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Luke Becker | 6 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 4 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 2 | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 4 | 5.6 | 4 | -1.6 |
| Andreas Lyager | 4 | 7.3 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 3 | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Benjamin Basso | 5 | 8.6 | 5 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.