BYD vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, September 22, 2024 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck3 3 3 3 113+1
- 10Andreas Lyager2 1 1 0 37
- 11Mateusz Szczepaniak1 1 1 2 27+2
- 12Tim Sörensen0 3 2 05
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 3 2 213
- 14Olivier BuszkiewiczW 1 W1+1
- 15Franciszek Karczewski2 0 13+1
- 1Jakub Jamróg2 2 0 2 06
- 2Rohan Tungate1 1 2 3 3 313+2
- 3Grzegorz Walasek00
- 4Norick Blödorn0 0 2 13
- 5Brady Kurtz2 2 3 1 1 09+1
- 6Paweł Trześniewski1 3 2 1 07
- 7Maksym Borowiak3 0 03
Heat by heat
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB3
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYDW
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1*
- Tim Sörensen · BYD0
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1*
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Tim Sörensen · BYD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1*
- Tim Sörensen · BYD0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD1*
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2*
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1*
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 13 km/h E
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| BYD | RYB | BYD | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +4 | 91 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 7.6 | 13 | +5.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 8.6 | 13 | +4.4 |
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 10.0 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 5 | 4.4 | 7 | +2.6 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | -0.0 |
| Tim Sörensen | 4 | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 8.3 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.2 | 6 | -2.2 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 13.5 | 9 | -4.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.