RYB vs RZE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Tuesday, April 30, 2024 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Rohan Tungate3 1 2 1 07+1
- 10Brady Kurtz3 3 3 3 214
- 11Jakub Jamróg2 1 2 3 19+3
- 12Norick Blödorn1 2 1 3 18+1
- 13Grzegorz Walasek2 3 1 06
- 14Maksym Borowiak1 0 01
- 16Paweł Trześniewski3 14
- 1Marcin Nowak1 2 2 D 2 310+1
- 2Krystian Pieszczek3 1 1 2 07+1
- 3Jacob Thorssell0 3 3 0 17+1
- 4Jesper Knudsen2 02
- 5Nicki PedersenW 2 3 2 2 312+1
- 6Bartosz CurzytekW 00
- 7Jakub Poczta2 0 02
- 8Wiktor Rafalski00
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2*
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE0
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB3
- Jakub Poczta · RZE2
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE2
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB1
- Bartosz Curzytek · RZE0
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1*
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE1*
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Jakub Poczta · RZE0
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE1
- Marcin Nowak · RZED
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1*
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Norick Blödorn · RYB3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Jakub Poczta · RZE0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2*
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Rohan Tungate · RYB0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 19 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h SW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 49 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 8 | +7 | −7 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| RYB | RZE | RYB | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +5 | 89 % |
| 3 | +5 | 90 % |
| 4 | +7 | 93 % |
| 5 | +7 | 94 % |
| 6 | +7 | 95 % |
| 7 | +9 | 97 % |
| 8 | +5 | 90 % |
| 9 | +9 | 97 % |
| 10 | +9 | 96 % |
| 11 | +11 | 100 % |
| 12 | +13 | 100 % |
| 13 | +13 | 100 % |
| 14 | +9 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcin Nowak | 6 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 6.0 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 2 | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 12.2 | 14 | +1.8 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 10.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Jesper Knudsen | 2 | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 7.6 | 7 | -0.6 |
| Jakub Poczta | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 8.8 | 7 | -1.8 |
| Bartosz Curzytek | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 9.9 | 7 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.