KRO vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 21, 2024 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Norbert Krakowiak1 2 0 14
- 10Jonas Seifert-Salk3 1 1 2 18+2
- 11Dimitri Berge3 2 1 2 210+2
- 12Patryk Wojdyło0 3 0 3 06
- 13Vaclav Milik2 3 3 3 314
- 14Piotr Świercz0 2 02+1
- 15Szymon Bańdur1 2 14+2
- 1Andreas Lyager0 1 2 2 27+2
- 2Kai Huckenbeck3 0 3 3 3 113
- 3Mateusz Szczepaniak2 0 1 14+1
- 4Tim Sörensen1 12
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski1 3 2 3 09
- 6Franciszek Karczewski3 0 2 0 05+1
- 7Olivier Buszkiewicz2 0 02+1
Heat by heat
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD0
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD3
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD2*
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO3
- Piotr Świercz · KRO2*
- Tim Sörensen · BYD1
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Dimitri Berge · KRO2*
- Tim Sörensen · BYD1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1*
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD2*
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO1
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Dimitri Berge · KRO2
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Dimitri Berge · KRO2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 3 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 16 km/h NW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 6.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 94 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| KRO | BYD | KRO | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +8 | 95 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 7.7 | 14 | +6.3 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 6 | 12.2 | 13 | +0.8 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 3 | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 5 | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Piotr Świercz | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 10.0 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Tim Sörensen | 2 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 4 | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 4 | 6.3 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 9.5 | 7 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.