RYB vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, September 20, 2024 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Rohan Tungate0 2 2 1 38+3
- 10Brady Kurtz2 3 3 3 314+1
- 11Jakub Jamróg3 0 3 3 09
- 12Norick Blödorn0 2 1 2 05
- 13Grzegorz Walasek3 1 0 04
- 14Maksym Borowiak2 3 16+1
- 15Paweł Trześniewski3 0 14
- 1Kai Huckenbeck1 2 1 3 18+3
- 2Tim Sörensen1 3 0 26+1
- 3Andreas Lyager2 3 3 1 110+2
- 4Mateusz Szczepaniak1 1 2 04+1
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski2 W 2 2 2 210
- 6Franciszek Karczewski0 D 00
- 7Olivier Buszkiewicz1 1 02
Heat by heat
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1*
- Rohan Tungate · RYB0
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB3
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB2*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Tim Sörensen · BYD1*
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYDD
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB0
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2*
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Tim Sörensen · BYD0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1*
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Tim Sörensen · BYD2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1*
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 17 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 7 km/h NE
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| RYB | BYD | RYB | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +10 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 3.0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 11.2 | 14 | +2.8 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 8.2 | 8 | -0.2 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 8.5 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Tim Sörensen | 4 | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 4.9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 10.9 | 10 | -0.9 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 4 | 6.7 | 4 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.