RYB vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 25, 2024 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Rohan Tungate1 2 1 1 27+3
- 10Brady Kurtz1 3 3 310
- 11Jakub Jamróg0 3 1 3 310+1
- 12Norick Blödorn3 2 2 2 110+1
- 13Grzegorz Walasek2 3 3 19+1
- 14Kacper Tkocz1 01
- 15Maksym Borowiak3 0 U3
- 16Paweł Trześniewski1 01
- 1Kenneth Bjerre3 2 0 0 2 310
- 3Norbert Krakowiak2 W 2 2 0 17+1
- 4Patryk Wojdyło2 1 0 D3+1
- 5Dimitri Berge1 0 3 3 2 211+1
- 6Piotr ŚwierczW 3 1 0 15+1
- 7Szymon Bańdur2 13
- 8Esben Hjerrild00
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2*
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB0
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Norick Blödorn · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2*
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1
- Esben Hjerrild · KRO0
- Piotr Świercz · KRO3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2*
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1*
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2*
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1
- Dimitri Berge · KRO0
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO0
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1*
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYBU
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Dimitri Berge · KRO2
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KROD
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Dimitri Berge · KRO2*
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 24 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 26 km/h NW
- gusts up to 37 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 57 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 13 | 5 | +8 | −8 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| RYB | KRO | RYB | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 7.2 | 10 | +2.8 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 6.6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 2 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Dimitri Berge | 6 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 6 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Piotr Świercz | 5 | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 2 | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 10.1 | 10 | -0.1 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 10.2 | 10 | -0.2 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 2 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Esben Hjerrild | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 8.1 | 7 | -1.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 11.2 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 5.5 | 3 | -2.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.