BYD vs POZ
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 25, 2024 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck2 2 04+1
- 10Andreas Lyager3 1 2 1 18+2
- 11Krzysztof Buczkowski3 2 3 3 213
- 12Tim Sörensen3 1 2 1 29+1
- 13Mateusz Szczepaniak2 3 3 W 19+1
- 14Olivier Buszkiewicz3 1 04
- 15Franciszek Karczewski2 1 14
- 16Philip Hellström Bängs00
- 1Matias Nielsen0 2 0 3 2 310+1
- 2Szymon Szlauderbach1 2 1 1 2 07+1
- 3Ryan Douglas1 W 2 3 3 W9
- 5Oleksandr LoktayevW 3 3 W 2 311+1
- 6Kacper TeskaW0
- 7Kacper GrzelakW W 0 00
- 8Kamil Witkowski11
Heat by heat
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Ryan Douglas · POZ1
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD3
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD2
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Tim Sörensen · BYD1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD1
- Matias Nielsen · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Tim Sörensen · BYD2*
- Kamil Witkowski · POZ1
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2*
- Tim Sörensen · BYD1
- Philip Hellström Bängs · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD1
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Tim Sörensen · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 23 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 17 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 50 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 19 | 4 | +15 | −15 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| BYD | POZ | BYD | POZ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +9 | – |
| 3 | +13 | – |
| 4 | +15 | 100 % |
| 5 | +15 | 100 % |
| 6 | +17 | 99 % |
| 7 | +17 | 100 % |
| 8 | +17 | 100 % |
| 9 | +15 | 100 % |
| 10 | +19 | 100 % |
| 11 | +15 | 100 % |
| 12 | +17 | 100 % |
| 13 | +13 | 100 % |
| 14 | +13 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 7.7 | 13 | +5.3 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.1 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Tim Sörensen | 5 | 7.2 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 6.5 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Kamil Witkowski | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 6 | 7.9 | 7 | -0.9 |
| Philip Hellström Bängs | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Kacper Teska | 1 | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 3 | 5.1 | 4 | -1.1 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 11.2 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 6 | 12.5 | 11 | -1.5 |
| Ryan Douglas | 6 | 11.9 | 9 | -2.9 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 4 | 4.6 | 0 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.