POZ vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 18, 2024 · Stadion Golęcin, Poznań
Results
- 9Matias Nielsen3 3 1 D 29
- 10Szymon Szlauderbach2 2 3 0 18+2
- 11Mateusz Świdnicki0 00
- 12Oleksandr Loktayev2 3 3 3 213+1
- 13Ryan Douglas3 3 3 3 113+1
- 14Kacper Teska1 1 0 13+2
- 15Kacper Grzelak2 0 1 36
- 1Kai Huckenbeck1 2 2 W 3 311+1
- 2Tim Sörensen0 11+1
- 3Andreas Lyager2 2 2 0 1 07+1
- 4Mateusz Szczepaniak3 1 1 27+2
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski1 D 2 2 2 07
- 6Franciszek Karczewski3 0 0 03
- 7Bartosz Curzytek0 11
Heat by heat
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · POZ0
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD3
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1*
- Bartosz Curzytek · BYD0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD1
- Tim Sörensen · BYD0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · POZ0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Tim Sörensen · BYD1*
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ0
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2*
- Bartosz Curzytek · BYD1
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYDD
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1*
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ1
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Matias Nielsen · POZD
- Kacper Grzelak · POZ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ1*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Ryan Douglas · POZ1*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 31 → 28 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h N
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.7 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 39 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 7 | +3 | −3 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| POZ | BYD | POZ | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +13 | 100 % |
| 12 | +15 | 100 % |
| 13 | +15 | 100 % |
| 14 | +15 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 5 | 6.1 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Kacper Grzelak | 4 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 6 | 9.7 | 11 | +1.3 |
| Kacper Teska | 4 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 4 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Matias Nielsen | 5 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Bartosz Curzytek | 2 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 2 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Andreas Lyager | 6 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 4 | 4.7 | 3 | -1.7 |
| Tim Sörensen | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 6 | 12.3 | 7 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.