KRO vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 17, 2024 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Dimitri Berge2 2 2 1 18+1
- 11Norbert Krakowiak2 35+1
- 12Vaclav Milik1 1 U2
- 13Kenneth Bjerre2 3 2 W 29
- 14Szymon Bańdur2 1 0 0 14+1
- 15Piotr Świercz3 2 0 0 38
- 16Jonas Seifert-Salk0 3 2 3 210+1
- 1Jakub Jamróg3 2 3 2 313
- 2Rohan TungateW 1 1 1 14+1
- 3Grzegorz Walasek1 2 3 2 08+1
- 4Norick BlödornD 0 1 01
- 5Brady Kurtz3 3 3 3 012
- 6Maksym Borowiak0 3 14
- 7Paweł Trześniewski1 1 02
Heat by heat
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Dimitri Berge · KRO2
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO0
- Piotr Świercz · KRO3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB3
- Piotr Świercz · KRO2
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1
- Norick Blödorn · RYBD
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1*
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Dimitri Berge · KRO2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Dimitri Berge · KRO2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Piotr Świercz · KRO3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2*
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2*
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2*
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1*
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 26 → 27 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 4 km/h N
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.8 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 62 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| KRO | RYB | KRO | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -2 | 36 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.3 | 13 | +4.7 |
| Piotr Świercz | 5 | 4.5 | 8 | +3.5 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 2 | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.0 | 9 | +1.0 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 12.1 | 12 | -0.1 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 5 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Vaclav Milik | 3 | 5.0 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 6.8 | 1 | -5.8 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 10.3 | 4 | -6.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.