KRO vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 3, 2024 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Dimitri Berge1 3 1 2 18+2
- 11Vaclav Milik3 3 3 3 315
- 13Kenneth Bjerre2 1 3 3 110
- 14Szymon Bańdur1 0 0 T 01
- 15Piotr Świercz3 1 0 W 15+1
- 16Jonas Seifert-Salk3 1 2 2 210+1
- 1Luke Becker2 2 3 3 3 215+1
- 2Benjamin Basso3 3 0 28
- 3Tomasz Gapiński0 2 2 15
- 4Daniel Kaczmarek2 1 1 15+1
- 5Oliver Berntzon0 2 2 0 0 04
- 6Mateusz Bartkowiak2 1 14+1
- 7Bartosz Nowak0 0 00
Heat by heat
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD0
- Piotr Świercz · KRO3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD2
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD0
- Benjamin Basso · LOD3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1*
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD1*
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1*
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Benjamin Basso · LOD3
- Luke Becker · LOD2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO1
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1*
- Benjamin Basso · LOD0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Dimitri Berge · KRO2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Benjamin Basso · LOD2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1*
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO1
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Rain → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 16 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h NW
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 13.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 93 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| KRO | LOD | KRO | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | +2 | 73 % |
| 10 | +2 | 70 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 9.9 | 15 | +5.1 |
| Luke Becker | 6 | 11.6 | 15 | +3.4 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Benjamin Basso | 4 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Piotr Świercz | 5 | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 7.7 | 8 | +0.3 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 4 | 6.1 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 5 | 4.4 | 1 | -3.4 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 12.2 | 4 | -8.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.