GDA vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 4, 2024 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Krzysztof KasprzakD D0
- 10Joshua Pickering1 2 2 0 3 08
- 11Adrian Gała1 0 1 1 14+1
- 12Tom Brennan2 3 1 2 1 211+2
- 13Niels Kristian Iversen3 1 2 1 W7
- 14Miłosz Wysocki1 W M 01
- 15Eryk Kaminski0 W0
- 1Jakub Jamróg3 2 0 2 29+3
- 2Rohan Tungate1 3 3 3 313
- 3Grzegorz Walasek2 1 1 04+2
- 4Norick Blödorn3 2 3 3 112
- 5Brady Kurtz0 3 3 2 311
- 6Maksym Borowiak2 24+2
- 7Paweł Trześniewski3 14
- 8Kacper Tkocz0 22+1
Heat by heat
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2*
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDAD
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB3
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB2*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Eryk Kaminski · GDA0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Tom Brennan · GDA2*
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
- Norick Blödorn · RYB3
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB2*
- Joshua Pickering · GDA1
- Tom Brennan · GDA3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1*
- Adrian Gała · GDA0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA1
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Joshua Pickering · GDA2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDAD
- Norick Blödorn · RYB3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA2
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDAM
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Joshua Pickering · GDA2
- Tom Brennan · GDA1*
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Tom Brennan · GDA2
- Adrian Gała · GDA1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Norick Blödorn · RYB3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2*
- Tom Brennan · GDA1
- Joshua Pickering · GDA0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB2*
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Joshua Pickering · GDA3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2*
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Tom Brennan · GDA2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Joshua Pickering · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 20 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h E
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 8 | 16 | −8 | +8 | |
| 5–7 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| GDA | RYB | GDA | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -8 | 11 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | -8 | 15 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -12 | 7 % |
| 7 | -14 | 0 % |
| 8 | -16 | 1 % |
| 9 | -16 | 1 % |
| 10 | -16 | 2 % |
| 11 | -20 | 1 % |
| 12 | -24 | 0 % |
| 13 | -22 | 0 % |
| 14 | -26 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 7.5 | 12 | +4.5 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.8 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Tom Brennan | 6 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 2 | 1.7 | 4 | +2.3 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 2 | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 2 | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.8 | 9 | +0.2 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 12.0 | 11 | -1.0 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Joshua Pickering | 6 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 5.7 | 4 | -1.7 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 4 | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| Eryk Kaminski | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 2 | 3.5 | 0 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.