BYD vs RZE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, August 3, 2024 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck3 2 0 1 39+1
- 10Andreas Lyager2 3 2 2 211+1
- 11Mateusz Szczepaniak1 3 2 2 210+2
- 12Tim Sörensen2 2 1 05+3
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 2 311
- 14Bartosz Curzytek2 0 02
- 15Franciszek KarczewskiW 1 3 04
- 1Nicki Pedersen2 2 3 3 D 313
- 2Jesper Knudsen0 0 11
- 3Krystian Pieszczek0 00
- 4Marcin Nowak3 1 3 1 2 111+1
- 5Jacob Thorssell1 1 3 1 06
- 6Franciszek Majewski3 1 1 0 16
- 7Wiktor RafalskiD 0 00
Heat by heat
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE0
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE3
- Bartosz Curzytek · BYD2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Tim Sörensen · BYD2*
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1
- Bartosz Curzytek · BYD0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Tim Sörensen · BYD2*
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD1
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1
- Bartosz Curzytek · BYD0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD0
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Tim Sörensen · BYD1*
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Tim Sörensen · BYD0
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2*
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1
- Nicki Pedersen · RZED
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2*
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 6 km/h W
- gusts up to 11 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 10 | +3 | −3 | |
| 5–7 | 14 | 4 | +10 | −10 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| BYD | RZE | BYD | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +1 | 77 % |
| 3 | +5 | 90 % |
| 4 | +3 | 83 % |
| 5 | +7 | 94 % |
| 6 | +9 | 97 % |
| 7 | +13 | 100 % |
| 8 | +11 | 98 % |
| 9 | +9 | 97 % |
| 10 | +9 | 96 % |
| 11 | +5 | 92 % |
| 12 | +9 | 98 % |
| 13 | +13 | 100 % |
| 14 | +17 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 7.9 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 8.4 | 11 | +2.6 |
| Marcin Nowak | 6 | 8.8 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 11.6 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Franciszek Majewski | 5 | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 4 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Bartosz Curzytek | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Jesper Knudsen | 3 | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| Tim Sörensen | 4 | 6.9 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 2 | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 9.1 | 6 | -3.1 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 3 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.