RZE vs POZ
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 27, 2024 · Stadion Miejski Stal w Rzeszowie, Rzeszów
Results
- 9Marcin Nowak1 2 3 1 18
- 10Krystian Pieszczek3 0 03
- 11Jesper Knudsen0 1 01
- 12Nicki Pedersen2 3 1 39+1
- 13Jacob Thorssell1 1 2 2 06+1
- 14Franciszek Majewski1 2 0 0 03+2
- 15Wiktor Rafalski2 0 2 1 16
- 1Matias Nielsen3 2 1 2 311+2
- 2Szymon Szlauderbach0 3 2 3 210+1
- 3Ryan Douglas2 2 3 2 211+3
- 4Jakub Oleksiak0 D0
- 5Oleksandr Loktayev3 3 3 3 315
- 6Lech Chlebowski0 1 01
- 7Kacper Teska3 1 1 0 16
Heat by heat
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2*
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
- Kacper Teska · POZ3
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE2
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1*
- Lech Chlebowski · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ0
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE3
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE2*
- Lech Chlebowski · POZ1
- Jakub Oleksiak · POZ0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE1
- Jakub Oleksiak · POZD
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2*
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE0
- Ryan Douglas · POZ3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE0
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2
- Matias Nielsen · POZ1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE1*
- Lech Chlebowski · POZ0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Matias Nielsen · POZ2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ3
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2*
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE0
- Matias Nielsen · POZ3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · POZ2*
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE1
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Ryan Douglas · POZ2*
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE1
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 29 → 28 °C
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h S
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 36 %
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 2 | 10 | −8 | +8 | |
| RZE | POZ | RZE | POZ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -4 | 34 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -4 | 32 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -6 | 20 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -10 | 1 % |
| 14 | -14 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 10.8 | 15 | +4.2 |
| Kacper Teska | 5 | 2.7 | 6 | +3.3 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 5 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Matias Nielsen | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Ryan Douglas | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 5 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 7.3 | 8 | +0.7 |
| Lech Chlebowski | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 3 | 4.9 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Jesper Knudsen | 3 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Jakub Oleksiak | 2 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 9.5 | 6 | -3.5 |
| Franciszek Majewski | 5 | 6.6 | 3 | -3.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.