RYB vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 28, 2024 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Rohan Tungate0 2 3 1 2 311+2
- 10Brady Kurtz2 3 2 2 3 214+2
- 11Grzegorz Walasek1 01
- 12Norick Blödorn2 1 1 2 06+1
- 13Jakub Jamróg0 D 1 0 12
- 14Kacper Tkocz0 1 01+1
- 15Maksym Borowiak3 2 16+1
- 1Kai Huckenbeck2 3 1 06+1
- 2Tim Sörensen3 W 0 3 39
- 3Andreas Lyager3 3 3 1 111+1
- 4Mateusz Szczepaniak3 2 2 3 010+2
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski1 1 3 2 29+1
- 6Franciszek Karczewski2 0 02
- 7Bartosz Curzytek1 U 01+1
Heat by heat
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1
- Rohan Tungate · RYB0
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB3
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD2
- Bartosz Curzytek · BYD1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD1
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2*
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB2
- Jakub Jamróg · RYBD
- Tim Sörensen · BYDW
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2*
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD1
- Bartosz Curzytek · BYDU
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2*
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Tim Sörensen · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD0
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB1*
- Bartosz Curzytek · BYD0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB0
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2*
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Showers → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 22 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 35 km/h NW
- gusts up to 45 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 64 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 9 | −1 | +1 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| RYB | BYD | RYB | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -4 | 37 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -10 | 9 % |
| 6 | -11 | 8 % |
| 7 | -7 | 18 % |
| 8 | -11 | 7 % |
| 9 | -7 | 20 % |
| 10 | -7 | 15 % |
| 11 | -7 | 12 % |
| 12 | -7 | 6 % |
| 13 | -7 | 4 % |
| 14 | -11 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 3 | 3.0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 7.8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| Tim Sörensen | 5 | 8.3 | 9 | +0.7 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 13.3 | 14 | +0.7 |
| Rohan Tungate | 6 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | +0.5 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 4 | 7.1 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Bartosz Curzytek | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.5 | 2 | -6.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.