LOD vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, August 11, 2024 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Luke Becker3 3 3 T9
- 10Daniel Kaczmarek3 1 2 06+1
- 11Tomasz Gapiński2 0 3 27+1
- 12Benjamin Basso2 1 3 17+1
- 13Oliver Berntzon0 2 3 38
- 14Bartosz Nowak2 T 1 14+1
- 15Mateusz Bartkowiak3 0 0 36
- 16Seweryn Orgacki0 2 02+1
- 1Krzysztof Kasprzak1 1 1 14+1
- 2Joshua Pickering3 3 0 1 29+1
- 3Tom Brennan0 2 2 1 38+2
- 4Adrian Gała2 3 0 2 07
- 5Niels Kristian Iversen1 2 2 2 310
- 6Eryk Kaminski0 1 12+1
- 7Miłosz Wysocki1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA1
- Tom Brennan · GDA0
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD3
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD2*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Eryk Kaminski · GDA0
- Joshua Pickering · GDA3
- Benjamin Basso · LOD2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA1
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD3
- Adrian Gała · GDA2
- Eryk Kaminski · GDA1
- Adrian Gała · GDA3
- Tom Brennan · GDA2*
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD0
- Joshua Pickering · GDA3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Tom Brennan · GDA2
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD1
- Adrian Gała · GDA0
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD2*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA1
- Joshua Pickering · GDA0
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA2
- Eryk Kaminski · GDA1*
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD0
- Benjamin Basso · LOD3
- Adrian Gała · GDA2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD0
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD3
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD2*
- Joshua Pickering · GDA1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA2
- Tom Brennan · GDA1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD0
- Tom Brennan · GDA3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1*
- Adrian Gała · GDA0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Joshua Pickering · GDA2*
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD1
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 24 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 25 km/h W
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.3 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 54 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LOD | GDA | LOD | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | 0 | 66 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +8 | 94 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +12 | 100 % |
| 13 | +12 | 100 % |
| 14 | +12 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Becker | 3 | 6.5 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 4 | 5.4 | 7 | +1.6 |
| Adrian Gała | 5 | 5.7 | 7 | +1.3 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 4 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 4 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 4 | 5.6 | 6 | +0.4 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 3 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| Benjamin Basso | 4 | 6.7 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 9.2 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 4 | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 9.1 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 3 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Eryk Kaminski | 3 | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 4 | 6.8 | 4 | -2.8 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.