KRO vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 21, 2024 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Dimitri Berge1 3 3 2 312+1
- 10Patryk Wojdyło2 0 1 14+1
- 11Vaclav Milik2 3 3 2 010
- 13Kenneth Bjerre2 2 3 2 312
- 14Szymon Bańdur0 0 2 1 03+1
- 15Piotr Świercz3 0 0 2 16+2
- 16Jonas Seifert-Salk00
- 1Jakub Jamróg3 3 1 1 210+1
- 2Rohan Tungate1 1 2 3 29
- 3Grzegorz Walasek0 1 01
- 4Norick Blödorn3 0 2 3 08
- 5Brady Kurtz3 2 1 3 110+1
- 6Paweł Trześniewski2 1 03
- 7Maksym Borowiak1 1 0 02+2
Heat by heat
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Dimitri Berge · KRO1*
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Piotr Świercz · KRO3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB1*
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Norick Blödorn · RYB3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Piotr Świercz · KRO0
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB1*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Piotr Świercz · KRO2*
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Norick Blödorn · RYB3
- Dimitri Berge · KRO2
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1*
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1*
- Maksym Borowiak · RYB0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 25 → 26 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 8 km/h NE
- gusts up to 15 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 53 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| KRO | RYB | KRO | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | -2 | 47 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +2 | 68 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | +4 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 8.1 | 12 | +3.9 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| Piotr Świercz | 5 | 3.3 | 6 | +2.7 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 8.4 | 10 | +1.6 |
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 8.0 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 1 | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Maksym Borowiak | 4 | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 11.8 | 10 | -1.8 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 5 | 5.0 | 3 | -2.0 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 11.1 | 9 | -2.1 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 3 | 4.7 | 1 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.