GDA vs RZE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 14, 2024 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Krzysztof Kasprzak2 1 3 2 210+1
- 10Joshua Pickering3 3 1 1 19+1
- 11Adrian GałaD D 1 34+1
- 12Tom Brennan1 3 2 3 110
- 13Niels Kristian Iversen3 3 3 3 315
- 14Miłosz WysockiD 0 00
- 15Bartosz TyburskiW W W0
- 1Marcin Nowak3 1 0 1 05+1
- 2Jesper Knudsen0 2 2 1 05
- 3Nicki Pedersen1 1 2 04
- 4Krystian Pieszczek2 2 1 0 38+1
- 5Jacob Thorssell2 2 3 2 211
- 6Wiktor Rafalski2 1 03+2
- 7Franciszek Majewski3 0 25
Heat by heat
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA2
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE1
- Adrian Gała · GDAD
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE3
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE2*
- Bartosz Tyburski · GDAW
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDAD
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Tom Brennan · GDA1
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
- Joshua Pickering · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE2
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE1*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Tom Brennan · GDA3
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE2
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE1
- Adrian Gała · GDAD
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1*
- Bartosz Tyburski · GDAW
- Joshua Pickering · GDA3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA1
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE1*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA3
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE2
- Joshua Pickering · GDA1
- Marcin Nowak · RZE0
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Tom Brennan · GDA2
- Adrian Gała · GDA1*
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Tom Brennan · GDA3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA2*
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE0
- Adrian Gała · GDA3
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE2
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE1
- Bartosz Tyburski · GDAW
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Joshua Pickering · GDA1
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE3
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA2
- Joshua Pickering · GDA1*
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Tom Brennan · GDA1
- Marcin Nowak · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 14 → 18 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h E
- gusts up to 19 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 86 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 14 | −5 | +5 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GDA | RZE | GDA | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -7 | 27 % |
| 3 | -5 | 34 % |
| 4 | -5 | 38 % |
| 5 | -5 | 34 % |
| 6 | -5 | 33 % |
| 7 | -3 | 46 % |
| 8 | -3 | 48 % |
| 9 | -1 | 56 % |
| 10 | -1 | 56 % |
| 11 | +3 | 88 % |
| 12 | +3 | 86 % |
| 13 | +5 | 96 % |
| 14 | +5 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.4 | 15 | +5.6 |
| Tom Brennan | 5 | 6.1 | 10 | +3.9 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 9.8 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Franciszek Majewski | 3 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 7.1 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Jesper Knudsen | 5 | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| Joshua Pickering | 5 | 8.9 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Adrian Gała | 4 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 3 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 7.7 | 5 | -2.7 |
| Bartosz Tyburski | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 4 | 9.0 | 4 | -5.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.