RZE vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, July 6, 2024 · Stadion Miejski Stal w Rzeszowie, Rzeszów
Results
- 9Marcin Nowak1 1 1 0 25+2
- 10Krystian Pieszczek1 2 2 1 06+1
- 11Nicki Pedersen3 1 3 2 3 012
- 13Jacob Thorssell3 1 2 1 2 110
- 14Franciszek Majewski3 0 1 15+1
- 15Wiktor RafalskiD 00
- 16Jesper Knudsen0 00
- 1Chris Holder2 3 3 3 213+1
- 2Tobiasz Musielak2 2 0 2 17+1
- 3Wiktor Jasinski0 3 0 03
- 4Frederik Jakobsen2 2 3 1 311+2
- 5Gleb Chugunov1 3 2 3 312+1
- 6Sebastian Szostak2 3 05
- 7Gracjan Szostak1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST0
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Gracjan Szostak · OST1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZED
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2
- Gleb Chugunov · OST1*
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2*
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE1
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE0
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2*
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE1
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2*
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Gleb Chugunov · OST3
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1*
- Gracjan Szostak · OST0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Gleb Chugunov · OST2
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Marcin Nowak · RZE0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1
- Gracjan Szostak · OST0
- Gleb Chugunov · OST3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST1
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE0
- Gleb Chugunov · OST3
- Chris Holder · OST2*
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE1
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 27 °C
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h S
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 45 %
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 3 | 9 | −6 | +6 | |
| RZE | OST | RZE | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -10 | 5 % |
| 8 | -10 | 7 % |
| 9 | -10 | 2 % |
| 10 | -8 | 5 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -8 | 7 % |
| 13 | -8 | 2 % |
| 14 | -10 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Holder | 5 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 10.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Franciszek Majewski | 4 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 6 | 10.0 | 10 | -0.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 6 | 12.4 | 12 | -0.4 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 4 | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Gracjan Szostak | 3 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Jesper Knudsen | 2 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 2 | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.