RYB vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 7, 2024 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Rohan Tungate3 1 2 3 312+1
- 10Brady Kurtz3 3 3 3 315
- 11Grzegorz Walasek1 3 0 2 17
- 12Norick Blödorn1 2 1 15+1
- 13Jakub Jamróg3 3 3 2 112+1
- 14Paweł Trześniewski2 0 02
- 15Kacper Tkocz0 0 11+1
- 1Luke Becker2 1 0 25+1
- 2Daniel Kaczmarek0 2 1 3 06
- 3Tomasz Gapiński0 11
- 4Benjamin Basso2 0 1 25+1
- 5Oliver Berntzon2 2 3 1 210
- 6Mateusz Bartkowiak3 1 2 2 0 08+2
- 7Bartosz Nowak1 0 01
- 8Seweryn Orgacki00
Heat by heat
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD0
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD3
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB2
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Benjamin Basso · LOD2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD1*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB3
- Norick Blödorn · RYB2*
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD1
- Benjamin Basso · LOD0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD2
- Luke Becker · LOD1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD0
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD2
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Rohan Tungate · RYB2*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD2*
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Benjamin Basso · LOD2
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1*
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2*
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD1
- Seweryn Orgacki · LOD0
- Rohan Tungate · RYB3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Drizzle
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 18 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 11 km/h NW
- gusts up to 24 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 2.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 93 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| RYB | LOD | RYB | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +12 | 99 % |
| 10 | +8 | 95 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +16 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 10.7 | 15 | +4.3 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 9.3 | 12 | +2.7 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 6 | 6.0 | 8 | +2.0 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 9.0 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 6.2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Norick Blödorn | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 2 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 5 | 8.6 | 7 | -1.6 |
| Luke Becker | 4 | 6.7 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Benjamin Basso | 4 | 7.5 | 5 | -2.5 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 3 | 3.6 | 1 | -2.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.