BYD vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, July 7, 2024 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck2 3 2 3 313+2
- 10Andreas Lyager3 2 3 210+2
- 11Mateusz Szczepaniak3 1 2 28+1
- 12Tim Sörensen1 3 3 310
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 2 311
- 14Hubert Gąsior2 0 0 02+1
- 15Franciszek Karczewski3 0 1 1 16
- 1Adrian Gała1 2 1 0 2 06+1
- 2Joshua Pickering2 2 3 1 3 213
- 3Mateusz Tonder0 0 1 01
- 5Tom Brennan0 2 1 2 1 17
- 6Miłosz Wysocki1 1 0 1 03+2
- 7Bartosz Tyburski0 W D0
Heat by heat
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Adrian Gała · GDA1
- Mateusz Tonder · GDA0
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD3
- Hubert Gąsior · BYD2*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1
- Bartosz Tyburski · GDA0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Joshua Pickering · GDA2
- Tim Sörensen · BYD1
- Tom Brennan · GDA0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Adrian Gała · GDA2
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1*
- Hubert Gąsior · BYD0
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Tom Brennan · GDA2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Mateusz Tonder · GDA0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Joshua Pickering · GDA2
- Adrian Gała · GDA1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Tom Brennan · GDA1
- Joshua Pickering · GDA3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Mateusz Tonder · GDA1
- Hubert Gąsior · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Joshua Pickering · GDA1
- Adrian Gała · GDA0
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Tom Brennan · GDA2
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Adrian Gała · GDA2
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1*
- Hubert Gąsior · BYD0
- Joshua Pickering · GDA3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD1
- Bartosz Tyburski · GDAD
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Tom Brennan · GDA1
- Mateusz Tonder · GDA0
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2*
- Tom Brennan · GDA1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Joshua Pickering · GDA2
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD1
- Adrian Gała · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 23 → 24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 8 km/h SW
- gusts up to 22 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 35 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 17 | 7 | +10 | −10 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| BYD | GDA | BYD | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +10 | 98 % |
| 4 | +10 | 98 % |
| 5 | +12 | 97 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +16 | 100 % |
| 8 | +14 | 100 % |
| 9 | +18 | 100 % |
| 10 | +20 | 100 % |
| 11 | +20 | 100 % |
| 12 | +20 | 100 % |
| 13 | +24 | 100 % |
| 14 | +28 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Lyager | 4 | 7.0 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Joshua Pickering | 6 | 10.4 | 13 | +2.6 |
| Tim Sörensen | 4 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 4 | 9.2 | 11 | +1.8 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 11.5 | 13 | +1.5 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 5 | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 4 | 7.4 | 8 | +0.6 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 5 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Tom Brennan | 6 | 8.2 | 7 | -1.2 |
| Adrian Gała | 6 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| Hubert Gąsior | 4 | 4.6 | 2 | -2.6 |
| Bartosz Tyburski | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 4 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.