OST vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, June 29, 2024 · Stadion Miejski w Ostrowie Wlkp., Ostrów Wielkopolski
Results
- 9Chris Holder2 1 2 3 311+3
- 10Tobiasz Musielak3 2 3 0 210+1
- 11Frederik Jakobsen3 3 2 3 112
- 12Wiktor Jasinski0 2 1 25+3
- 13Gleb Chugunov3 3 3 3 315
- 14Sebastian Szostak3 2 16+1
- 15Gracjan Szostak2 1 03+1
- 1Rohan Tungate0 W 0 1 12
- 2Grzegorz Walasek1 2 03+1
- 3Jakub Jamróg1 1 2 2 28
- 4Norick Blödorn1 0 01
- 5Brady Kurtz2 3 3 2 1 011+1
- 6Kacper TkoczW 0 0 1 12+1
- 8Kamil Winkler1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Chris Holder · OST2*
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1
- Rohan Tungate · RYB0
- Sebastian Szostak · OST3
- Gracjan Szostak · OST2*
- Kamil Winkler · RYB1
- Gleb Chugunov · OST3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB1*
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST0
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2*
- Norick Blödorn · RYB1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST2*
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB1
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Gleb Chugunov · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB2
- Gracjan Szostak · OST1
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2
- Chris Holder · OST1*
- Kamil Winkler · RYB0
- Gleb Chugunov · OST3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Rohan Tungate · RYB0
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST3
- Chris Holder · OST2*
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Grzegorz Walasek · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST2*
- Rohan Tungate · RYB1
- Norick Blödorn · RYB0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1*
- Gracjan Szostak · OST0
- Gleb Chugunov · OST3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1*
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Kamil Winkler · RYB0
- Gleb Chugunov · OST3
- Jakub Jamróg · RYB2
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Brady Kurtz · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 °C
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h E
- gusts up to 20 km/h
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 47 %
- Measured · Kalisz, 21 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 18 | 6 | +12 | −12 | |
| 5–7 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| OST | RYB | OST | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead OST
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +8 | 94 % |
| 4 | +12 | 96 % |
| 5 | +16 | 100 % |
| 6 | +18 | 99 % |
| 7 | +18 | 100 % |
| 8 | +20 | 100 % |
| 9 | +24 | 100 % |
| 10 | +24 | 100 % |
| 11 | +28 | 100 % |
| 12 | +28 | 100 % |
| 13 | +28 | 100 % |
| 14 | +32 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gleb Chugunov | 5 | 8.6 | 15 | +6.4 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 5 | 9.1 | 12 | +2.9 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 3 | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 4 | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 8.9 | 10 | +1.1 |
| Jakub Jamróg | 5 | 6.9 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Gracjan Szostak | 3 | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Chris Holder | 5 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 5 | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 3 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| Kamil Winkler | 3 | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Brady Kurtz | 6 | 12.7 | 11 | -1.7 |
| Norick Blödorn | 3 | 4.3 | 1 | -3.3 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 9.6 | 2 | -7.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.