LOD vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 30, 2024 · Moto Arena w Łodzi, Łódź
Results
- 9Luke Becker2 0 3 0 16
- 10Daniel Kaczmarek1 1 1 14+1
- 11Tomasz GapińskiW 2 2 2 06+1
- 12Benjamin Basso0 3 1 3 310+1
- 13Oliver Berntzon3 3 3 D 211+1
- 14Bartosz Nowak3 2 16
- 15Mateusz Bartkowiak2 0 13+1
- 1Kai Huckenbeck3 2 T 2 2 110+1
- 2Tim Sörensen1 1 0 3 27+3
- 3Mateusz Szczepaniak1 01
- 4Andreas Lyager3 1 2 1 310+1
- 5Krzysztof Buczkowski2 2 3 3 W10+1
- 6Franciszek Karczewski0 0 00
- 7Olivier Buszkiewicz1 3 D 2 U6
Heat by heat
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Luke Becker · LOD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD3
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD2*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2
- Tim Sörensen · BYD1*
- Benjamin Basso · LOD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
- Benjamin Basso · LOD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Tim Sörensen · BYD1*
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD0
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD2*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Bartosz Nowak · LOD1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYDD
- Luke Becker · LOD3
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1
- Tim Sörensen · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1*
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD0
- Benjamin Basso · LOD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1*
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Tim Sörensen · BYD3
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYDU
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1
- Oliver Berntzon · LODD
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Tim Sörensen · BYD2*
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Tomasz Gapiński · LOD0
- Benjamin Basso · LOD3
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 31 °C
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Wind
- 17 km/h S
- gusts up to 41 km/h
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 44 %
- Measured · Lodz, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 13 | 11 | +2 | −2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LOD | BYD | LOD | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LOD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +2 | 73 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +2 | 74 % |
| 14 | -2 | 23 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Basso | 5 | 6.2 | 10 | +3.8 |
| Bartosz Nowak | 3 | 3.4 | 6 | +2.6 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 5 | 8.7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 5 | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 8.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Tomasz Gapiński | 5 | 6.4 | 6 | -0.4 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 10.8 | 10 | -0.8 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 4 | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| Tim Sörensen | 5 | 9.1 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 2 | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Luke Becker | 5 | 9.5 | 6 | -3.5 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.