KRO vs RZE
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 30, 2024 · Stadion Miejski w Krośnie, Krosno
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre2 3 1 3 3 113+1
- 10Jonas Seifert-Salk2 1 2 D 1 06
- 11Patryk WojdyłoW 1 12+2
- 12Norbert Krakowiak0 2 02
- 13Vaclav Milik3 2 0 1 3 312
- 14Piotr Świercz1 12
- 15Szymon BańdurW 1 0 23
- 1Marcin Nowak1 2 3 2 210+1
- 3Nicki Pedersen3 3 2 0 210+1
- 4Krystian Pieszczek3 0 3 1 18+2
- 5Jacob Thorssell2 2 3 2 09
- 6Wiktor Rafalski3 D 03
- 7Franciszek Majewski2 0 13+1
- 8Jesper Knudsen1 3 0 37+1
Heat by heat
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE3
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE2*
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO0
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZED
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1*
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE0
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2*
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1
- Vaclav Milik · KRO0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2*
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO1*
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1*
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE1*
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO0
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE3
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO2
- Franciszek Majewski · RZE1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KROD
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE1*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2
- Kenneth Bjerre · KRO1
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 28 → 27 °C
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h S
- gusts up to 39 km/h
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.4 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Krosno / Bia?obrzegi, 2 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| KRO | RZE | KRO | RZE | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead KRO
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -6 | 27 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -8 | 13 % |
| 8 | -12 | 2 % |
| 9 | -12 | 1 % |
| 10 | -12 | 0 % |
| 11 | -12 | 0 % |
| 12 | -14 | 4 % |
| 13 | -12 | 0 % |
| 14 | -12 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 9.4 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Jesper Knudsen | 4 | 4.1 | 7 | +2.9 |
| Vaclav Milik | 6 | 9.5 | 12 | +2.5 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 8.1 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Piotr Świercz | 2 | 2.0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 3 | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Franciszek Majewski | 3 | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 10.0 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 11.1 | 10 | -1.1 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 4 | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 3 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 3 | 4.0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 6 | 10.2 | 6 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.