RZE vs LOD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Saturday, April 13, 2024 · Stadion Miejski Stal w Rzeszowie, Rzeszów
Results
- 9Marcin Nowak3 2 1 1 07+1
- 10Jacob Thorssell3 3 3 2 314
- 11Mateusz Świdnicki00
- 12Nicki Pedersen3 2 3 3 213+1
- 13Krystian Pieszczek2 3 3 0 311+1
- 14Wiktor Rafalski3 0 D3
- 15Bartosz Curzytek1 0 12+1
- 16Jesper Knudsen0 2 24+1
- 1Oskar Polis2 1 2 0 16+2
- 2Benjamin Basso1 2 0 3 28
- 3Oliver Berntzon1 3 1 1 3 110+1
- 4Daniel Kaczmarek2 1 2 2 07
- 5Luke Becker0 1 12
- 6Mateusz Bartkowiak0 1 01+1
- 7Aleksander Grygolec2 0 02
Heat by heat
- Marcin Nowak · RZE3
- Oskar Polis · LOD2
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD1*
- Mateusz Świdnicki · RZE0
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE3
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD2
- Bartosz Curzytek · RZE1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE2*
- Benjamin Basso · LOD1
- Luke Becker · LOD0
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD2
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD1*
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZE0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD1
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE3
- Benjamin Basso · LOD2
- Oskar Polis · LOD1*
- Bartosz Curzytek · RZE0
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Marcin Nowak · RZE2*
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD2
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD1
- Wiktor Rafalski · RZED
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Oskar Polis · LOD2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Benjamin Basso · LOD0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE2*
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD1
- Mateusz Bartkowiak · LOD0
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD2
- Marcin Nowak · RZE1
- Oskar Polis · LOD0
- Benjamin Basso · LOD3
- Jesper Knudsen · RZE2
- Bartosz Curzytek · RZE1*
- Aleksander Grygolec · LOD0
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD3
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE2
- Luke Becker · LOD1
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE0
- Krystian Pieszczek · RZE3
- Benjamin Basso · LOD2
- Oskar Polis · LOD1*
- Marcin Nowak · RZE0
- Jacob Thorssell · RZE3
- Nicki Pedersen · RZE2*
- Oliver Berntzon · LOD1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · LOD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 18 → 16 °C
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h W
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 58 %
- Measured · Rzeszow-Jasionka, 9 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| RZE | LOD | RZE | LOD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RZE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +14 | 99 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +14 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krystian Pieszczek | 5 | 7.2 | 11 | +3.8 |
| Jacob Thorssell | 5 | 10.7 | 14 | +3.3 |
| Nicki Pedersen | 5 | 10.2 | 13 | +2.8 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Marcin Nowak | 5 | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| Jesper Knudsen | 3 | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Aleksander Grygolec | 3 | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 10.4 | 10 | -0.4 |
| Wiktor Rafalski | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| Bartosz Curzytek | 3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Oskar Polis | 5 | 6.8 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Mateusz Świdnicki | 1 | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Benjamin Basso | 5 | 9.9 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Mateusz Bartkowiak | 3 | 2.9 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Luke Becker | 3 | 4.9 | 2 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.