GDA vs KRO
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 14, 2024 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Mateusz Tonder0 3 2 05+1
- 10Nicolai Klindt3 2 3 2 3 013+1
- 11Tom Brennan1 3 W 26
- 12Krzysztof Kasprzak1 0 3 3 310
- 13Niels Kristian Iversen3 1 2 1 18+1
- 14Eryk Kaminski1 01
- 15Miłosz WysockiT 0 0 00
- 1Norbert Krakowiak3 2 1 2 19+2
- 2Dimitri Berge0 3 0 3 28
- 3Vaclav Milik2 1 3 3 211+2
- 4Patryk Wojdyło2 2 1 1 06+1
- 5Jonas Seifert-Salk2 1 1 04
- 6Piotr Świercz2 1 25+2
- 7Szymon Bańdur3 0 14
Heat by heat
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2*
- Tom Brennan · GDA1
- Mateusz Tonder · GDA0
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO3
- Piotr Świercz · KRO2*
- Eryk Kaminski · GDA1
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO2
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA1
- Dimitri Berge · KRO0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Piotr Świercz · KRO1*
- Eryk Kaminski · GDA0
- Tom Brennan · GDA3
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO2
- Vaclav Milik · KRO1*
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA0
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2*
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Mateusz Tonder · GDA3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Mateusz Tonder · GDA2*
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO1
- Dimitri Berge · KRO0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA3
- Piotr Świercz · KRO2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO1
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA3
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO2
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO1*
- Mateusz Tonder · GDA0
- Dimitri Berge · KRO3
- Tom Brennan · GDA2
- Szymon Bańdur · KRO1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Vaclav Milik · KRO3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA1*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · KRO0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Dimitri Berge · KRO2
- Niels Kristian Iversen · GDA1
- Patryk Wojdyło · KRO0
- Krzysztof Kasprzak · GDA3
- Vaclav Milik · KRO2
- Norbert Krakowiak · KRO1*
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 12 → 11 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 51 km/h W
- gusts up to 67 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.6 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 45 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| GDA | KRO | GDA | KRO | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -8 | 11 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -10 | 8 % |
| 7 | -6 | 18 % |
| 8 | -8 | 12 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -6 | 6 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -4 | 8 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaclav Milik | 5 | 7.9 | 11 | +3.1 |
| Piotr Świercz | 3 | 2.2 | 5 | +2.8 |
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 10.6 | 13 | +2.4 |
| Krzysztof Kasprzak | 5 | 8.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 5 | 7.2 | 9 | +1.8 |
| Szymon Bańdur | 3 | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| Mateusz Tonder | 4 | 5.0 | 5 | -0.0 |
| Niels Kristian Iversen | 5 | 9.3 | 8 | -1.3 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 4 | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| Tom Brennan | 4 | 7.6 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 9.7 | 8 | -1.7 |
| Eryk Kaminski | 2 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 4 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.