BYD vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 14, 2024 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Andreas Lyager3 3 0 3 312
- 10Kai Huckenbeck3 2 2 3 111+1
- 11Mateusz Szczepaniak1 2 1 3 29+1
- 12Tim Sörensen2 0 2 04
- 13Krzysztof BuczkowskiW 3 36
- 14Olivier Buszkiewicz3 1 W 1 16
- 15Franciszek Karczewski1 1 13
- 1Chris Holder2 0 3 3 2 212
- 2Frederik Jakobsen3 2 1 2 2 010
- 3Tobiasz Musielak0 1 2 0 36
- 4Wiktor Jasinski0 3 W 1 W4+1
- 6Sebastian Szostak2 1 2 1 0 06
- 7Gracjan Szostak0 00
Heat by heat
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST0
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD1
- Gracjan Szostak · OST0
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST3
- Tim Sörensen · BYD2
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Sebastian Szostak · OST2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST0
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST1
- Tim Sörensen · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD1
- Chris Holder · OST0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST1
- Gracjan Szostak · OST0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · BYD3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYDW
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD2
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD0
- Chris Holder · OST3
- Tim Sörensen · BYD2
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD1*
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Wiktor Jasinski · OST1*
- Tim Sörensen · BYD0
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Franciszek Karczewski · BYD1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD3
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST0
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST3
- Mateusz Szczepaniak · BYD2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Chris Holder · OST2
- Kai Huckenbeck · BYD1
- Frederik Jakobsen · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 17 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 23 km/h W
- gusts up to 46 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 1.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 30 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 9 | −1 | +1 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| BYD | OST | BYD | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +4 | 82 % |
| 7 | +8 | 95 % |
| 8 | +9 | 98 % |
| 9 | +7 | 94 % |
| 10 | +7 | 95 % |
| 11 | +7 | 95 % |
| 12 | +9 | 98 % |
| 13 | +11 | 100 % |
| 14 | +11 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 8.3 | 12 | +3.7 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 5 | 3.3 | 6 | +2.7 |
| Chris Holder | 6 | 10.3 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Mateusz Szczepaniak | 5 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| Frederik Jakobsen | 6 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Franciszek Karczewski | 3 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 3 | 6.1 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 6 | 6.3 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Tim Sörensen | 4 | 5.9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Wiktor Jasinski | 5 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| Gracjan Szostak | 2 | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 5 | 10.6 | 6 | -4.6 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.