POZ vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 11, 2023 · Stadion Golęcin, Poznań
Results
- 9Norbert Krakowiak1 3 2 3 1 313+3
- 10Kevin FajferW 2 3 05+1
- 12Antonio Lindbäck2 1 0 03+1
- 13Oleksandr Loktayev3 3 2 1 211+1
- 14Kacper Teska2 1 03
- 15Karol Żupiński0 0 11
- 16Jonas Seifert-Salk2 0 1 3 28
- 1Kenneth Bjerre3 2 1 1 18+1
- 3Szymon Szlauderbach0 2 3 3 08+1
- 5David Bellego1 1 2 2 06+2
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski3 3 3 3 315
- 7Olivier Buszkiewicz1 1 0 0 W2+1
- 8Benjamin Basso0 2 1 2 27+1
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ2
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Kacper Teska · POZ2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Karol Żupiński · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ2*
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Benjamin Basso · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Benjamin Basso · BYD2*
- Kacper Teska · POZ1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1*
- Karol Żupiński · POZ0
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ3
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ2*
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Benjamin Basso · BYD1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ3
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- David Bellego · BYD2*
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ1
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ0
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ3
- Benjamin Basso · BYD2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1*
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ0
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ3
- Benjamin Basso · BYD2
- Karol Żupiński · POZ1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD3
- David Bellego · BYD2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ1
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ2
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ1*
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 → 26 °C
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Wind
- 22 km/h E
- gusts up to 35 km/h
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 26 %
- Measured · Poznan, 4 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| POZ | BYD | POZ | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead POZ
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -6 | 22 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -4 | 35 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -2 | 35 % |
| 13 | -6 | 4 % |
| 14 | -6 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 10.9 | 15 | +4.1 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 6 | 9.6 | 13 | +3.4 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 5 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Kacper Teska | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 5 | 7.8 | 8 | +0.2 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 4 | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 5 | 11.6 | 11 | -0.6 |
| Karol Żupiński | 3 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Benjamin Basso | 5 | 7.7 | 7 | -0.7 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 7.2 | 6 | -1.2 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.5 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 4 | 5.6 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 5 | 4.7 | 2 | -2.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.