RYB vs LAN
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 4, 2023 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Brady Kurtz2 3 2 1 311+1
- 10Patryk Wojdyło1 2 0 25+1
- 11Matej Zagar3 D 3 3 110
- 13Patrick Hansen2 2 3 1 311+2
- 14Kacper Tkocz1 0 01
- 15Paweł Trześniewski0 0 00
- 16Jan Kvech3 3 2 3 213+2
- 1Kai Huckenbeck1 1 3 2 3 212
- 2Jonas Jeppesen1 3 1 1 0 06+1
- 3Marius Hillebrand0 11
- 4Kim Nilsson2 2 2 0 06+1
- 5Dimitri Berge0 1 12
- 6Norick Blödorn3 3 1 0 2 110+1
- 7Erik Bachhuber2 02+1
Heat by heat
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN1
- Marius Hillebrand · LAN0
- Norick Blödorn · LAN3
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN2*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Jan Kvech · RYB3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN1
- Dimitri Berge · LAN0
- Norick Blödorn · LAN3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Jan Kvech · RYB3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2
- Marius Hillebrand · LAN1
- Matej Zagar · RYBD
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2*
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN1
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2*
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1
- Norick Blödorn · LAN0
- Jan Kvech · RYB3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1
- Kim Nilsson · LAN0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Norick Blödorn · LAN2
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN1*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2
- Patrick Hansen · RYB1*
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2*
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2
- Matej Zagar · RYB1
- Kim Nilsson · LAN0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 6 km/h SW
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 9 | 3 | +6 | −6 | |
| RYB | LAN | RYB | LAN | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | 0 | 62 % |
| 5 | 0 | 64 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | +2 | 70 % |
| 8 | +2 | 71 % |
| 9 | 0 | 56 % |
| 10 | +4 | 84 % |
| 11 | +6 | 92 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Kvech | 5 | 7.2 | 13 | +5.8 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 7.3 | 11 | +3.7 |
| Norick Blödorn | 6 | 8.6 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 9.2 | 10 | +0.8 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 10.5 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 6 | 11.6 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Erik Bachhuber | 2 | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Marius Hillebrand | 2 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 3 | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 5.4 | 5 | -0.4 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 6 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
| Dimitri Berge | 3 | 6.0 | 2 | -4.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.