BYD vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, June 4, 2023 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Daniel Jeleniewski1 01
- 10Szymon Szlauderbach1 2 D3
- 11Kenneth Bjerre3 1 1 3 19
- 12David Bellego0 3 3 3 312
- 13Andreas Lyager3 3 1 1 19
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 3 3 3 315
- 15Olivier Buszkiewicz1 2 03+1
- 16Benjamin Basso2 24+1
- 1Oliver Berntzon2 2 1 3 0 210
- 2Matias Nielsen2 0 1 1 26+1
- 3Victor Palovaara00
- 4Grzegorz Walasek2 0 0 13
- 5Tobiasz Musielak1 3 2 2 0 08+1
- 6Sebastian Szostak0 00
- 7Jakub Krawczyk2 1 0 2 2 07
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD1
- Victor Palovaara · OST0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Matias Nielsen · OST2
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST1*
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1
- Sebastian Szostak · OST0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD2*
- Oliver Berntzon · OST1
- Matias Nielsen · OST0
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD2
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Benjamin Basso · BYD2
- Matias Nielsen · OST1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYDD
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Benjamin Basso · BYD2*
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2
- Matias Nielsen · OST1*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Matias Nielsen · OST2
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Tobiasz Musielak · OST0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 21 → 23 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 7 km/h W
- gusts up to 17 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 24 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| BYD | OST | BYD | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +2 | 79 % |
| 2 | +4 | 86 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +8 | 94 % |
| 6 | +12 | 99 % |
| 7 | +10 | 97 % |
| 8 | +12 | 98 % |
| 9 | +10 | 97 % |
| 10 | +12 | 100 % |
| 11 | +16 | 100 % |
| 12 | +16 | 100 % |
| 13 | +18 | 100 % |
| 14 | +20 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bellego | 5 | 4.8 | 12 | +7.2 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 9.3 | 15 | +5.7 |
| Benjamin Basso | 2 | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 6 | 5.9 | 7 | +1.1 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.1 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 10.2 | 10 | -0.2 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 3 | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Victor Palovaara | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Sebastian Szostak | 2 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| Matias Nielsen | 5 | 7.9 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 4 | 6.7 | 3 | -3.7 |
| Tobiasz Musielak | 6 | 13.1 | 8 | -5.1 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.