LAN vs RYB
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 28, 2023 · OneSolar Arena Landshut Ellermühle, Landshut
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck2 1 3 0 17+2
- 10Jonas Jeppesen3 2 0 2 07+1
- 11Marius Hillebrand3 0 14+1
- 12Kim Nilsson2 1 3 39
- 13Dimitri BergeD 3 3 3 312
- 14Erik Bachhuber3 1 04
- 15Norick Blödorn2 1 2 2 07+2
- 1Brady Kurtz1 2 1 2 28+1
- 2Patryk Wojdyło1 0 2 36
- 3Matej Zagar0 2 1 0 36+2
- 5Patrick Hansen3 3 1 1 19+1
- 6Paweł TrześniewskiT M0
- 7Kacper Tkocz1 0 0 01
- 8Jan Kvech2 3 2 1 210+2
Heat by heat
- Marius Hillebrand · LAN3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2*
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1
- Matej Zagar · RYB0
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN3
- Norick Blödorn · LAN2*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1
- Dimitri Berge · LAND
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN1
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Jan Kvech · RYB3
- Matej Zagar · RYB2*
- Kim Nilsson · LAN1
- Marius Hillebrand · LAN0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN2
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2
- Matej Zagar · RYB1*
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB2
- Brady Kurtz · RYB1*
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN0
- Kim Nilsson · LAN3
- Norick Blödorn · LAN2*
- Patrick Hansen · RYB1
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYBM
- Kim Nilsson · LAN3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1*
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Norick Blödorn · LAN2
- Marius Hillebrand · LAN1*
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN2*
- Patrick Hansen · RYB1
- Matej Zagar · RYB0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN1
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Patrick Hansen · RYB1*
- Norick Blödorn · LAN0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 21 °C
- Measured · Landshut-Reithof, 17 km away
- Wind
- 12 km/h NE
- gusts up to 29 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Vilsheim-münchsdorf, 11 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Measured · Vilsheim-münchsdorf, 11 km away
- Humidity
- 34 %
- Measured · Landshut-Reithof, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 16 | 8 | +8 | −8 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 11–13 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 14–15 | 4 | 8 | −4 | +4 | |
| LAN | RYB | LAN | RYB | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LAN
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +8 | 96 % |
| 3 | +6 | 90 % |
| 4 | +8 | 93 % |
| 5 | +4 | 83 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +6 | 90 % |
| 9 | +6 | 89 % |
| 10 | +10 | 96 % |
| 11 | +10 | 97 % |
| 12 | +10 | 98 % |
| 13 | +14 | 100 % |
| 14 | +10 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 9.3 | 12 | +2.7 |
| Jan Kvech | 5 | 7.4 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 6.6 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Kim Nilsson | 4 | 7.4 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Marius Hillebrand | 3 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Erik Bachhuber | 3 | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 4 | 5.1 | 6 | +0.9 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 4 | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 7.8 | 7 | -0.8 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 5 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Brady Kurtz | 5 | 10.1 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 9.8 | 7 | -2.8 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.