GDA vs LAN
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 21, 2023 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk
Results
- 9Norbert KościuchW 3 14
- 10Mads Hansen1 2 0 1 26+2
- 11Daniel Kaczmarek3 2 0 2 07
- 13Nicolai Klindt3 3 3 2 3 115
- 14Seweryn Orgacki0 0 00
- 15Miłosz Wysocki2 0 13+1
- 16Keynan Rew1 1 3 1 39+1
- 1Kai Huckenbeck2 1 3 3 211+2
- 2Jonas JeppesenW 2 2 3 18+1
- 3Marius Hillebrand1 W1
- 4Kim Nilsson2 3 2 0 310+1
- 5Dimitri Berge2 1 2 0 05
- 6Norick Blödorn3 3 1 1 210+2
- 7Erik Bachhuber1 0 01
Heat by heat
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2
- Marius Hillebrand · LAN1
- Norick Blödorn · LAN3
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA2
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Dimitri Berge · LAN2
- Keynan Rew · GDA1
- Norick Blödorn · LAN3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2*
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Kim Nilsson · LAN3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA2
- Keynan Rew · GDA1
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN2
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN1*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Norbert Kościuch · GDA3
- Mads Hansen · GDA2*
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1*
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN2*
- Norbert Kościuch · GDA1
- Mads Hansen · GDA0
- Keynan Rew · GDA3
- Dimitri Berge · LAN2
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2
- Keynan Rew · GDA1*
- Kim Nilsson · LAN0
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA2
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA1*
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Norick Blödorn · LAN2
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Dimitri Berge · LAN0
- Keynan Rew · GDA3
- Mads Hansen · GDA2*
- Jonas Jeppesen · LAN1
- Dimitri Berge · LAN0
- Kim Nilsson · LAN3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2*
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 20 → 21 °C
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Wind
- 20 km/h NE
- gusts up to 33 km/h
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 43 %
- Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 10 | 14 | −4 | +4 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| GDA | LAN | GDA | LAN | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead GDA
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | 0 | 64 % |
| 4 | -4 | 38 % |
| 5 | -4 | 34 % |
| 6 | -4 | 33 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | 0 | 57 % |
| 9 | -4 | 28 % |
| 10 | -4 | 22 % |
| 11 | -4 | 18 % |
| 12 | -4 | 20 % |
| 13 | -2 | 33 % |
| 14 | +2 | 77 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 10.9 | 15 | +4.1 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 5.4 | 9 | +3.6 |
| Norick Blödorn | 5 | 7.3 | 10 | +2.7 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 3 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 6.1 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 10.1 | 11 | +0.9 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 3 | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 9.6 | 10 | +0.4 |
| Jonas Jeppesen | 5 | 8.3 | 8 | -0.3 |
| Marius Hillebrand | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 3 | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| Erik Bachhuber | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Mads Hansen | 5 | 9.8 | 6 | -3.8 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 10.3 | 5 | -5.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.