BYD vs POZ
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, May 21, 2023 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Kenneth Bjerre1 1 3 1 06
- 10Daniel Jeleniewski3 3 0 1 310
- 11David Bellego0 3 1 3 07
- 12Szymon Szlauderbach0 00
- 13Andreas Lyager1 3 3 2 211
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 2 2 3 313+2
- 15Olivier Buszkiewicz1 0 01
- 1Adrian Gała2 1 1 04+3
- 2Norbert Krakowiak3 2 2 2 2 112
- 3Oleksandr Loktayev3 2 1 3 2 314
- 4Antonio Lindbäck11
- 5Kevin Fajfer2 2 2 W 17+2
- 6Karol Żupiński0 0 00
- 7Kacper Teska2 0 13+1
- 8Jonas Seifert-Salk1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Adrian Gała · POZ2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Kacper Teska · POZ2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Karol Żupiński · POZ0
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ3
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2*
- Antonio Lindbäck · POZ1
- Karol Żupiński · POZ0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ2
- Adrian Gała · POZ1*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD3
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Kacper Teska · POZ0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2*
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ1
- Jonas Seifert-Salk · POZ0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ2
- Adrian Gała · POZ1*
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ2
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Karol Żupiński · POZ0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Adrian Gała · POZ0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ2
- Kacper Teska · POZ1*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD3
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ2
- Kevin Fajfer · POZ1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD0
- Oleksandr Loktayev · POZ3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Norbert Krakowiak · POZ1
- David Bellego · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 24 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 17 km/h E
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 29 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 11 | 13 | −2 | +2 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 11–13 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 14–15 | 5 | 7 | −2 | +2 | |
| BYD | POZ | BYD | POZ | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -4 | 45 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -2 | 46 % |
| 5 | -2 | 47 % |
| 6 | -2 | 48 % |
| 7 | 0 | 60 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +8 | 95 % |
| 12 | +8 | 98 % |
| 13 | +8 | 98 % |
| 14 | +8 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 9.4 | 13 | +3.6 |
| Norbert Krakowiak | 6 | 9.0 | 12 | +3.0 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 5 | 7.9 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Oleksandr Loktayev | 6 | 12.0 | 14 | +2.0 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 9.0 | 11 | +2.0 |
| Kevin Fajfer | 5 | 5.6 | 7 | +1.4 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Kacper Teska | 3 | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| Antonio Lindbäck | 1 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Adrian Gała | 4 | 5.4 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Karol Żupiński | 3 | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Jonas Seifert-Salk | 2 | 3.3 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 2 | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.4 | 6 | -3.4 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.