BYD vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Thursday, June 1, 2023 · Stadion Miejski im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego, Bydgoszcz
Results
- 9Daniel Jeleniewski1 0 01+1
- 10Szymon Szlauderbach2 2 1 0 05+1
- 11Kenneth Bjerre2 1 3 3 110+1
- 13Andreas Lyager2 3 2 3 313+1
- 14Wiktor Przyjemski3 3 3 2 314
- 15Olivier Buszkiewicz1 0 12
- 16Benjamin Basso1 2 1 04+1
- 1Daniel Kaczmarek0 1 2 1 26+2
- 2Nicolai Klindt3 2 3 3 2 215
- 4Keynan Rew1 0 12
- 5Michael Jepsen Jensen0 3 2 2 07
- 6Miłosz Wysocki2 0 02
- 7Seweryn Orgacki0 1 01
- 8Mads Hansen3 3 0 1 18+2
Heat by heat
- Mads Hansen · GDA3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD1*
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2
- Benjamin Basso · BYD1*
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD2*
- Keynan Rew · GDA1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Mads Hansen · GDA3
- Benjamin Basso · BYD2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1*
- Keynan Rew · GDA0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA1*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA3
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD2
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Andreas Lyager · BYD2*
- Keynan Rew · GDA1
- Mads Hansen · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA2*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1
- Daniel Jeleniewski · BYD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA2
- Benjamin Basso · BYD1
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA1
- Benjamin Basso · BYD0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA2
- Mads Hansen · GDA1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA2
- Mads Hansen · GDA1*
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- Michael Jepsen Jensen · GDA0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Clear → Partly cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 22 → 19 °C
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Wind
- 13 km/h NW
- gusts up to 30 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 46 %
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 9 | +6 | −6 | |
| 5–7 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 8–10 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 11–13 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| BYD | GDA | BYD | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead BYD
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | +2 | 77 % |
| 3 | +2 | 77 % |
| 4 | +6 | 90 % |
| 5 | +6 | 90 % |
| 6 | +6 | 88 % |
| 7 | +4 | 82 % |
| 8 | +8 | 94 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | +6 | 92 % |
| 11 | +4 | 88 % |
| 12 | +6 | 92 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 10.8 | 15 | +4.2 |
| Andreas Lyager | 5 | 8.9 | 13 | +4.1 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 10.0 | 14 | +4.0 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 5.3 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 5 | 9.3 | 10 | +0.7 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 3 | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 3 | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| Benjamin Basso | 4 | 5.0 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Mads Hansen | 5 | 9.4 | 8 | -1.4 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 5 | 6.6 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Keynan Rew | 3 | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| Michael Jepsen Jensen | 5 | 8.9 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Daniel Jeleniewski | 3 | 5.2 | 1 | -4.2 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.