ZIE vs BYD
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 30, 2023 · Zielona Góra Speedway Stadium, Zielona Góra
Results
- 9Przemysław Pawlicki2 3 2 3 313
- 10Rasmus Jensen3 2 1 3 211+2
- 11Rohan Tungate1 2 1 3 18+2
- 13Krzysztof Buczkowski3 3 2 2 212+2
- 14Dawid Rempała1 0 0 0 01+1
- 15Michał Curzytek2 2 0 0 15+1
- 1Kenneth Bjerre3 2 3 2 0 111
- 3David Bellego0 3 3 1 07
- 4Szymon Szlauderbach1 1 1 14+2
- 5Andreas Lyager1 1 3 W5
- 6Wiktor Przyjemski3 2 2 2 312+1
- 7Olivier Buszkiewicz0 0 W0
- 8Benjamin Basso0 1 01+1
Heat by heat
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1*
- David Bellego · BYD0
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE1*
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Benjamin Basso · BYD0
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1*
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Benjamin Basso · BYD1*
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2*
- Andreas Lyager · BYD1
- Olivier Buszkiewicz · BYD0
- David Bellego · BYD3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD3
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE2
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE1*
- Benjamin Basso · BYD0
- Andreas Lyager · BYD3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2*
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1
- Dawid Rempała · ZIE0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD2
- Szymon Szlauderbach · BYD1*
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE0
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE3
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD2
- Michał Curzytek · ZIE1
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2*
- David Bellego · BYD1
- Wiktor Przyjemski · BYD3
- Rasmus Jensen · ZIE2
- Rohan Tungate · ZIE1*
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD0
- Przemysław Pawlicki · ZIE3
- Krzysztof Buczkowski · ZIE2*
- Kenneth Bjerre · BYD1
- David Bellego · BYD0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Partly cloudy → Clear
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 13 → 14 °C
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Wind
- 14 km/h NW
- gusts up to 26 km/h
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.2 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 38 %
- Measured · Zielona Gora, 1 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 14 | 10 | +4 | −4 | |
| 5–7 | 10 | 8 | +2 | −2 | |
| 8–10 | 6 | 12 | −6 | +6 | |
| 11–13 | 12 | 6 | +6 | −6 | |
| 14–15 | 8 | 4 | +4 | −4 | |
| ZIE | BYD | ZIE | BYD | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead ZIE
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 66 % |
| 2 | 0 | 64 % |
| 3 | +4 | 82 % |
| 4 | +4 | 83 % |
| 5 | +2 | 69 % |
| 6 | +2 | 74 % |
| 7 | +6 | 90 % |
| 8 | +4 | 83 % |
| 9 | +4 | 88 % |
| 10 | 0 | 56 % |
| 11 | 0 | 48 % |
| 12 | +2 | 73 % |
| 13 | +6 | 96 % |
| 14 | +6 | 100 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Przemysław Pawlicki | 5 | 9.7 | 13 | +3.3 |
| Wiktor Przyjemski | 5 | 9.6 | 12 | +2.4 |
| Kenneth Bjerre | 6 | 8.6 | 11 | +2.4 |
| Michał Curzytek | 5 | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Krzysztof Buczkowski | 5 | 10.2 | 12 | +1.8 |
| David Bellego | 5 | 7.1 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Rasmus Jensen | 5 | 11.2 | 11 | -0.2 |
| Rohan Tungate | 5 | 8.8 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Dawid Rempała | 5 | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| Andreas Lyager | 4 | 6.5 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Szymon Szlauderbach | 4 | 6.1 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Benjamin Basso | 3 | 3.9 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Olivier Buszkiewicz | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.