RYB vs GDA
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Friday, May 12, 2023 · Stadion Miejski, Rybnik
Results
- 9Brady Kurtz2 2 W 2 39+1
- 10Patryk Wojdyło3 1 3 0 07+1
- 11Matej Zagar3 3 2 3 314
- 13Patrick Hansen1 3 1 2 18+1
- 14Kacper TkoczU 1 W1
- 15Paweł Trześniewski3 0 14
- 16Jan Kvech2 0 1 D3+1
- 1Daniel Kaczmarek0 2 1 3 28
- 2Norbert Kościuch0 11+1
- 3Mads Hansen1 2 3 1 1 19+1
- 5Nicolai Klindt3 3 2 3 3 216+1
- 6Miłosz Wysocki2 2 04
- 7Seweryn OrgackiD 0 00
- 8Keynan RewW 1 2 2 05+1
Heat by heat
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2*
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA0
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB3
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA2
- Kacper Tkocz · RYBU
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDAD
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Jan Kvech · RYB2
- Patrick Hansen · RYB1*
- Norbert Kościuch · GDA0
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA2
- Kacper Tkocz · RYB1
- Keynan Rew · GDAW
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Mads Hansen · GDA2
- Keynan Rew · GDA1*
- Jan Kvech · RYB0
- Patrick Hansen · RYB3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA2
- Norbert Kościuch · GDA1*
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB1*
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Mads Hansen · GDA3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2*
- Patrick Hansen · RYB1
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA1
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Matej Zagar · RYB2
- Jan Kvech · RYB1*
- Miłosz Wysocki · GDA0
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA3
- Brady Kurtz · RYB2
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Jan Kvech · RYBD
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Keynan Rew · GDA2
- Paweł Trześniewski · RYB1
- Seweryn Orgacki · GDA0
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA3
- Patrick Hansen · RYB2
- Mads Hansen · GDA1
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
- Brady Kurtz · RYB3
- Daniel Kaczmarek · GDA2
- Patrick Hansen · RYB1
- Keynan Rew · GDA0
- Matej Zagar · RYB3
- Nicolai Klindt · GDA2
- Mads Hansen · GDA1*
- Patryk Wojdyło · RYB0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 19 → 17 °C
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Wind
- 13 km/h E
- gusts up to 28 km/h
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 0.1 mm
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Humidity
- 37 %
- Measured · Raciborz, 26 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 15 | 8 | +7 | −7 | |
| 5–7 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 8 | 10 | −2 | +2 | |
| 14–15 | 7 | 5 | +2 | −2 | |
| RYB | GDA | RYB | GDA | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead RYB
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | +4 | 85 % |
| 2 | +5 | 89 % |
| 3 | +5 | 90 % |
| 4 | +7 | 93 % |
| 5 | +7 | 94 % |
| 6 | +7 | 95 % |
| 7 | +7 | 95 % |
| 8 | +3 | 83 % |
| 9 | +3 | 88 % |
| 10 | +3 | 84 % |
| 11 | +1 | 68 % |
| 12 | +3 | 86 % |
| 13 | +1 | 74 % |
| 14 | +3 | 94 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Klindt | 6 | 10.6 | 16 | +5.4 |
| Matej Zagar | 5 | 9.5 | 14 | +4.5 |
| Daniel Kaczmarek | 5 | 5.6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Brady Kurtz | 4 | 8.2 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Miłosz Wysocki | 3 | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Paweł Trześniewski | 3 | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Patrick Hansen | 5 | 7.9 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Kacper Tkocz | 2 | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Patryk Wojdyło | 5 | 8.0 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Norbert Kościuch | 2 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Jan Kvech | 4 | 5.7 | 3 | -2.7 |
| Seweryn Orgacki | 3 | 2.7 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Mads Hansen | 6 | 12.4 | 9 | -3.4 |
| Keynan Rew | 5 | 8.7 | 5 | -3.7 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.