LAN vs OST
Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 23, 2023 · OneSolar Arena Landshut Ellermühle, Landshut
Results
- 9Kai Huckenbeck2 2 3 1 311+1
- 10Martin Smolinski2 3 2 0 0 07+1
- 11Kim Nilsson0 2 1 3 28
- 12Lukas Baumann0 0 00
- 13Dimitri Berge1 3 0 1 16+1
- 14Norick Blödorn2 1 14+1
- 15Erik Bachhuber1 1 02
- 1Oliver Berntzon3 2 0 0 3 311+1
- 2Matias Nielsen3 2 1 1 2 211
- 4Grzegorz Walasek3 1 2 2 2 111+4
- 6Jakub Krawczyk3 0 25+1
- 7Jakub PocztaD 0 11+1
- 8Francis Gusts1 3 3 3 3 013
Heat by heat
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2
- Francis Gusts · OST1
- Kim Nilsson · LAN0
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST3
- Norick Blödorn · LAN2
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN1
- Jakub Poczta · OSTD
- Matias Nielsen · OST3
- Oliver Berntzon · OST2*
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1
- Lukas Baumann · LAN0
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST3
- Martin Smolinski · LAN2
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1*
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST0
- Francis Gusts · OST3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1
- Lukas Baumann · LAN0
- Dimitri Berge · LAN3
- Matias Nielsen · OST2
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN1
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- Martin Smolinski · LAN3
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN2*
- Matias Nielsen · OST1
- Jakub Poczta · OST0
- Francis Gusts · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2*
- Norick Blödorn · LAN1
- Dimitri Berge · LAN0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Martin Smolinski · LAN2*
- Matias Nielsen · OST1
- Oliver Berntzon · OST0
- Francis Gusts · OST3
- Jakub Krawczyk · OST2*
- Kim Nilsson · LAN1
- Lukas Baumann · LAN0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2*
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN1
- Martin Smolinski · LAN0
- Kim Nilsson · LAN3
- Matias Nielsen · OST2
- Jakub Poczta · OST1*
- Erik Bachhuber · LAN0
- Francis Gusts · OST3
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST2*
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1
- Martin Smolinski · LAN0
- Oliver Berntzon · OST3
- Kim Nilsson · LAN2
- Dimitri Berge · LAN1*
- Francis Gusts · OST0
- Kai Huckenbeck · LAN3
- Matias Nielsen · OST2
- Grzegorz Walasek · OST1*
- Martin Smolinski · LAN0
Conditions
Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.
- Sky
- Cloudy
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Temperature
- 16 → 17 °C
- Measured · Landshut-Reithof, 17 km away
- Wind
- 9 km/h SE
- gusts up to 18 km/h
- Regional estimate (Meteostat)
- Rain during the meeting
- 0 mm
- Measured · Vilsheim-münchsdorf, 11 km away
- Rain in the 24 hours before
- 3.9 mm
- Measured · Vilsheim-münchsdorf, 11 km away
- Humidity
- 67 %
- Measured · Landshut-Reithof, 17 km away
Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers; contains modified Copernicus Climate Change Service information 2026; CC BY 4.0
Match by phase
Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.
| Points | Balance | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–4 | 9 | 15 | −6 | +6 | |
| 5–7 | 11 | 7 | +4 | −4 | |
| 8–10 | 7 | 11 | −4 | +4 | |
| 11–13 | 5 | 13 | −8 | +8 | |
| 14–15 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |
| LAN | OST | LAN | OST | ||
The match heat by heat
Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.
- Lead LAN
| Heat | Lead | Home win chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2 | 53 % |
| 2 | -2 | 54 % |
| 3 | -6 | 32 % |
| 4 | -6 | 23 % |
| 5 | -8 | 18 % |
| 6 | -6 | 24 % |
| 7 | -2 | 46 % |
| 8 | -6 | 16 % |
| 9 | -2 | 44 % |
| 10 | -6 | 15 % |
| 11 | -10 | 1 % |
| 12 | -10 | 1 % |
| 13 | -14 | 0 % |
| 14 | -14 | 0 % |
Pre-meeting expectation
Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.
| Rider | heats | Expected | Scored | ± |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Gusts | 6 | 6.8 | 13 | +6.2 |
| Jakub Krawczyk | 3 | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| Kai Huckenbeck | 5 | 10.2 | 11 | +0.8 |
| Matias Nielsen | 6 | 10.3 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Martin Smolinski | 6 | 6.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Grzegorz Walasek | 6 | 10.8 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Norick Blödorn | 3 | 4.0 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Oliver Berntzon | 6 | 11.4 | 11 | -0.4 |
| Erik Bachhuber | 3 | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| Kim Nilsson | 5 | 9.0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| Jakub Poczta | 3 | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| Lukas Baumann | 3 | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Dimitri Berge | 5 | 9.3 | 6 | -3.3 |
Track & gates
Heat times
Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.
Starting gates
One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.
Inside vs outside
Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.