GDA vs ZIE

Metalkas 2. Ekstraliga · Sunday, April 23, 2023 · Stadion im. Zbigniewa Podleckiego, Gdańsk

Results

GDA 37 : 53 ZIE
GDA
ZIE

Heat by heat

Heat 165.91 s1:5
Heat 267.69 s2:4
Heat 367.59 s3:3
Heat 467.34 s3:3
Heat 567.43 s1:5
Heat 667.15 s2:4
Heat 767.09 s3:3
Heat 867.81 s3:3
Heat 967.37 s3:3
Heat 1067.75 s2:4
Heat 1167.63 s1:5
Heat 1268.88 s5:1
Heat 1368.03 s2:4
Heat 1467.94 s4:2
Heat 1566.60 s2:4

Conditions

Weather at the track from the start to the end of the meeting.

Sky
Partly cloudy
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Temperature
21 → 22 °C
Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Wind
29 km/h S
gusts up to 43 km/h
Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away
Rain during the meeting
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Rain in the 24 hours before
0 mm
Regional estimate (Meteostat)
Humidity
26 %
Measured · Gdansk-Rebiechowo, 14 km away

Weather data (summarised): Meteostat and its data providers, CC BY 4.0

Match by phase

Each team's points in each phase of the programme from the first heats down, and the balance: who won the phase and by how much.

PointsBalance
1–4915−6+6
5–7612−6+6
8–10810−2+2
11–13810−2+2
14–156600
GDAZIEGDAZIE

The match heat by heat

Running score difference (home − away) after each heat, and the home team's chance to win from that lead in other matches.

  • Lead GDA
-18-16-14-12-10-8-6-4115
HeatLeadHome win chance
1-445 %
2-627 %
3-632 %
4-623 %
5-109 %
6-127 %
7-124 %
8-122 %
9-121 %
10-140 %
11-181 %
12-144 %
13-160 %
14-140 %

Pre-meeting expectation

Heat points the model expected from each rider before the meeting (Elo ratings, three opponents of the meeting's average), against what they scored.

RiderheatsExpectedScored±
Przemysław Pawlicki510.314+3.7
Krzysztof Buczkowski59.313+3.7
Mads Hansen47.89+1.2
Michał Curzytek54.25+0.8
Rohan Tungate58.29+0.8
Norbert Kościuch32.73+0.3
Miłosz Wysocki44.04-0.0
Daniel Kaczmarek21.71-0.7
Michael Jepsen Jensen612.011-1.0
Keynan Rew22.01-1.0
Seweryn Orgacki32.61-1.6
Rasmus Jensen511.610-1.6
Dawid Rempała54.02-2.0
Nicolai Klindt69.57-2.5

Track & gates

Heat times

Winning time of every heat, four heats per row: darker is faster. On the right the row average and its change from the first row show how the track got faster or slower.

slower 68.8865.91 faster

Starting gates

One strip per gate, inside to outside, on the same heats: the columns are the points from that gate in each heat (0–3), the solid line the average of the last four heats, the dashed line the trend over the meeting.

Points in the heatAverage of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting

Inside vs outside

Heat by heat, the points from the inside gates minus the outside gates, weighted by how far out the gate is: the inner and outer gate count fully, the two middle gates a third. Bars to the left: the inside scored more, to the right: the outside, as on the track. With the average of the last four heats and the trend over the meeting.

inside 1 + 2 30.3:40.3 outside 3 + 4
Trend ◀ +1.57 towards the inside
Margin, average of the last 4 heatsTrend over the meeting
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